why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
De Grey: Amyloid clearance is solved but requires combination therapies for Alzheimer's
“Well, in one case, Alzheimer's disease, that's also, that's very much in clinical trials, and we basically solve the problem. That can now be eliminated. It doesn't have much effect on Alzheimer's disease on its own, but it's a fair bet that in combination wit…”
Opinion
De Grey: Peer-reviewed funding is a catastrophe for high-risk scientific research
“Peer review is an absolute catastrophe when it comes to doing anything high risk, high reward, and also for that matter doing anything cross-disciplinary.”
Disclosure
De Grey accepts non-biological longevity solutions if biotech stalls
“I'm quite sentimental about being made out of meat, but at the same time, you know, if the Push came to shove and the work that we do and other people do on the biotech side started to, you know, hit diminishing returns and basically run into the sand and work…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
De Grey: Earth's carrying capacity will easily outpace population growth
“It seems to me pretty damn clear that the increase in the carrying capacity of the planet over the next century will way outrun the increase in the actual population of the planet.”
Opinion
De Grey: Biological aging is humanity's most important problem
“Aging was the world's most important problem, the source of the world's greatest amount of suffering, and so on.”
Opinion
De Grey: AI is only humanity's second most important problem
“Making machines smart enough to relieve us of the tedium of having to spend our lives doing things that we wouldn't do if we weren't being paid in order to make the world go around. Yeah, so I wanted that to end. But I always knew that that was only the world'…”
Insight
De Grey: Aging research stalled because scientists lacked an engineering mindset
“I realized that a lot of the reason why people were not making progress in postponing the ill health of old age was because they were going about it more as, you know, lifelong basic scientists and not so much as technologists with a more goal-directed kind of…”
Insight
De Grey: Engineering maintenance principles can postpone the ill health of aging
“Any machine, and of course the human body is just a machine, right any machine has moving parts, it does damage to itself as a side effect of its normal operation, so one can use the same principles, the same, like, top-level principles to postpone the ill hea…”
Insight
De Grey: Fast sequencing and data processing do not create fundamental breakthroughs
“Things like the ability to sequence things really fast and really cheaply or the ability to process things usually doesn't actually underpin the fundamental breakthroughs.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
De Grey: Ray Kurzweil is overly optimistic about current anti-aging methods
“He is actually a lot more optimistic than me with regard to how much we can postpone aging with stuff that already exists today.”