The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Sinofsky: Android OEMs will launch dozens of VR headsets by 2017
“Fast forward this, 1218 months, and you could see the reviews and the columns, and it's going to be the Samsung VR kit, the Xiaomi VR kit, and just like 12 different ones that are like the same but different, and people are going to evaluate those, and then th…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:35 a16z Podcast | Innovation vs. Invention at Google I/O
Assertion Supported
Evans: Emerging Chinese smartphone makers are hurting Samsung, not Apple
“In precisely the period that you have half a dozen Chinese manufacturers coming into market with really good design and strong brand, which show me is only the most obvious, and what's happening is those guys are killing Samsung, they're not touching Apple at …”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:48 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Assertion Supported
Evans: Chinese teenagers prefer iPhones and Xiaomi over Samsung
“Indeed, if you then ask Chinese teenagers what brand they want, first they say they want an iPhone, then they say they want a phone from interesting new brands like Xiaomi or Meizu and Samsung is a hand-me-down phone they get from their grandmother. They all h…”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 6:53 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2015
Assertion Supported
Shirky: One-third of Xiaomi MIUI features originate from user suggestions
“Blaise Jones has said that a third of the features in, in me UI have come from suggestions from users.”
Clay Shirky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:51 a16z Podcast | 'In the Eye of a Tornado': Views on Innovation from China
Assertion Supported
Chan: Xiaomi's 19-Day Livestream Campaign Drew 39 Million Viewers
“Now, thirty nine million people in China watched this live stream at some point. Thirty nine million. And they even let people leave comments. They gave around 700 phones away.”
Connie Chan Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 8:45 A Whirlwind Tour Through Tech Trends in China
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