The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Sinofsky: Steve Jobs framed iPhone market share by manufacturer to undercut rivals
“Steve Jobs, like, put up a slide at the iPhone launch of mobile phone share, but he very deliberately chose to measure it by the manufacturer of phones so that it diminished the share of Windows Phone. But he also could have just done it by operating system, w…”
Steven Sinofsky Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 10:05 Steven Sinofsky & Balaji Srinivasan on the Future of M&A, AI & Tech
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Evans: There are even odds Windows Phone disappears within a year
“It's, that, that, I would be, I think there's even odds that that product won't exist in a year.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:11 a16z Podcast | The Year Mobile Began to Truly Dominate Tech
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