The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Sinofsky: 1990s Stanford research predicted politeness toward modern AI assistants
“So like today, we all say thank you to Siri and Alexa, not even thinking about it. Well, they showed that, they demonstrated that, 25 years ago. That it was, that was what was going to happen, and it was just sort of the way that people do that.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 27, 2019 ▶ 7:58 Clippy: The Unauthorized Biography
Assertion Contradicted
Chan: WeChat features a Siri-like voice assistant returning visual outputs
“And there's another, almost like a Siri type product that lives inside WeChat right now. So you can send it an audio message and it will show you a visual response.”
Connie Chan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:19 a16z Podcast | Culture and/of Design
Prediction Held up
Evans predicts a standalone LTE Apple Watch is two years away.
“And so potentially at the point that the watch gets LTE, then you can You go out all day with the AirPods and the watch and Siri. That feels like that's a couple of years away, maybe.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:05 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Case of Invisible But Audible Innovation
Assertion Supported
Mars: Apple built a $1 billion data center for Siri's launch
“Apple built a one billion dollar data center at the time that Siri was released.”
Jason Mars Jul 28, 2017 ▶ 2:39 Jason Mars
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