The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mark Cuban says NBA streaming results will make or break sports media
“So this season, right, starting with the NBA season, how well that does in terms of driving subscriptions and reducing churn, that's going to make or break everything that comes forward for all sports.”
Mark Cuban Sep 9, 2025 ▶ 38:09 Mark Cuban on the NBA, Cost Plus Drugs, and How to Fix Politics
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sarandos predicts sports leagues like the NFL will go direct-to-consumer
“I think the winner will be NFL.com. That they'll just go direct to consumer, and there's plenty of people who pay an outrageous amount of money for a subscription for NFL, or NBA, or MLB, and ultimately the winners will be the league anyway, so.”
Ted Sarandos Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 30:03 a16z Podcast | The Internet of Taste, Streaming Content to Culture
Opinion
Mark Cuban ranks Tyrese Haliburton as a top 15 NBA player
“Halle is not a top five NBA player, right? Maybe top 15.”
Mark Cuban Sep 9, 2025 ▶ 45:50 Mark Cuban on the NBA, Cost Plus Drugs, and How to Fix Politics
Prediction Held up
Wiener: High school star Mac McClung will reach the NBA despite skeptics
“I would say that most of the basketball population does not believe he's going to go to the NBA. I do, because I'm a supporter.”
Zach Wiener Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:43 a16z Podcast | Eyeballs on the Game
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Mark Cuban predicts NBA teams will award fewer max contracts
“I think the strategy is changing right in front of our eyes. I think there'll be fewer max players coming up.”
Mark Cuban Sep 9, 2025 ▶ 44:18 Mark Cuban on the NBA, Cost Plus Drugs, and How to Fix Politics
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: College football per-game TV ratings surpass NBA ratings
“The college football Television ratings are much higher than NBA ratings for, you know, any given game.”
Ben Horowitz Jan 13, 2024 ▶ 1:26:53 Crisis in Higher Ed & Why Universities Still Matter
Assertion Partly supported
Gaskins: NBA instituted dress code after Allen Iverson repeatedly paid fines
“Allen's showing up, like, I'm not going to be like Mike, I'm wearing the white tee with the Yankee fitted with Timbs, and that's how I'm coming to the games, and the NBA's like, mm-mm, that's a 50,000 dollar fine, fine, I'll pay it. Mm-hmm, that's a 100,000 do…”
Que Gaskins Jul 13, 2023 ▶ 18:26 More Than a Game: Why Are We Obsessed With Sports?
Prediction Not checkable as stated
McClusky: US sports leagues will see major changes adopting overseas performance tech
“We're actually really far behind in the U.S. On a lot of this, and so seeing some of the things that have happened in Australia and the U.K. Make their way into major U.S. Team sports, I think we're going to see a lot of changes in NBA, NFL.”
Mark McClusky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 40:15 a16z Podcast | Sports, Tech, and What We Can All Learn from the Latest Performance Science
Assertion Supported
Seven-foot American males have a 25% chance of playing in the NBA
“If you're a seven foot tall American male, you have roughly a 25% chance of playing in the National Basketball Association. If you are a six-six, which again, is really tall, you have like a .2% chance of playing in the NBA.”
Mark McClusky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 54:53 a16z Podcast | Sports, Tech, and What We Can All Learn from the Latest Performance Science
Disclosure
Belch: STRIVR has signed six NFL and seven college football teams
“To date, we have six teams in the NFL, seven in college football. We do have a basketball and a hockey team in the NBA and the NHL, respectively”
Derek Belch Jul 28, 2017 ▶ 19:50 Derek Belch
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Magic Johnson: Michael Ovitz reworked his NBA contract for free
“He reworked my contract to make me one of the highest paid in the NBA, But he did it, and then I said, well, how much I owe you? He said, I don't want nothing from you.”
Earvin "Magic" Johnson Feb 11, 2026 ▶ 8:48 Inside The Life of Silicon Valley's First Athlete Investor | Magic Johnson
Assertion Partly supported
Mark Cuban says NBA could not find a buyer for New Orleans
“In 2010, The NBA couldn't even sell the New Orleans franchise. There were no buyers. And the valuation had gone down.”
Mark Cuban Sep 9, 2025 ▶ 36:08 Mark Cuban on the NBA, Cost Plus Drugs, and How to Fix Politics
Assertion Supported
Chen: Average MLB viewer is late 50s; NBA average is 42
“Baseball, it's like you have the audience that is, you know, now in their kind of like late fifties you know, NFL, you know, NBA is, I think, like, you know, really young at, you know, 42 or something like that.”
Andrew Chen Jun 7, 2019 ▶ 7:57 What's Next for Esports Startups
Assertion Partly supported
SportVU captures 3D positional data 25 times per second in NBA games
“Sport View, which is a system in the NBA that captures three-dimensional positional data on every player in the ball and officials 25 times a second during a game.”
Mark McClusky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:57 a16z Podcast | Sports, Tech, and What We Can All Learn from the Latest Performance Science
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