why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
What-if
Schafer: AAA Game Studios Would Never Have Created Minecraft
“I don't think a AAA studio would have created Minecraft, for example, you know, and I don't think that followed any sort of rules that existed before it, you know, but I think when people have the ability to kind of make these smaller, personal, more risky pro…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stephenson: Major game studios are actively avoiding crypto and blockchain integration
“Most of the big players in the game industry are being avoidant of crypto and blockchain and there's different reasons for that you know having to do with you know, they may perceive a risk to their brand Or they may see that just the, there could be a lot of …”
Insight
Chen: Game studios build network effects via competition, streaming, and UGC
“E-sports and sort of this tournament play and, you know, the competitive aspect, that's one version of this. Being able to create a streamable thing, which then, you know, has a community around you know, your whole product, that's another version of this. And…”
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Voyager Minecraft bot built on GPT-4 is best-in-class
“This bot basically is built entirely on, on, on black box GPT-IV. So they have not built their own model or perception or planning or anything, you know, any sort of traditional engine you would build to build a bot like this. Instead, they work entirely at th…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stephenson: Major game ecosystems will build cross-platform metaverse bridges in coming years
“I suspect that they're talking to one another about how do we build a bridge from our game or our experience to your game so that a person could go from one to the other. It may take some years to really come together, but I think it will come together.”
Opinion
Stephenson: Fortnite, Roblox, and Minecraft are closest to real metaverse experiences
“I think that the closest things that we currently can see to metaverse-like experiences are games like Fortnite, Roblox, Minecraft, where you've got a bunch of people running around in a space.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Minecraft and Roblox Combine Social Networks With Content Platforms
“Minecraft, Roblox, these are virtual worlds that sort of bake both a social network and a content platform all into one.”