why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Ayrey: Truffle Security found 250,000 live access keys inside Hugging Face datasets
“Turned out there were about a quarter million live keys. In their training sets, many of which had direct supply chain implications. There was a foundational Linux library that one of the keys had direct push access to. It could have pushed malware to most mac…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Open-source crypto protocols will win just like Linux did
“The fact that it's open, and anyone can take it, and hack it, and fork it, and look at it, and audit it, and do all these things, like, this is why Linux won, right? And this is why all this stuff is going to win.”
Opinion
Waters: Red Hat benefited from a rare Unix-to-Linux platform shift
“Red Hat kinda got lucky and find a commoditizing change, which was Unix to Linux. That's an rare event to have a major, you know, chip system re platforming see change.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stephen Sinofsky: Legacy desktop OSs cannot retroactively add mobile architecture features
“All the things about power management and security and reliability this whole sealed case notion of the phone and the tablet OS's, these modern OS's, these are huge, huge benefits. And there, there's no way of sort of retroactively adding those to the existing…”
Assertion Contradicted
Moore: OpenClaw Is the Most-Starred GitHub Repository of All Time
“So now it's, I think, number one GitHub stars of all time. It passed React, it passed Linux.”
Insight
Monegro: Blockchains challenge tech's proprietary data model like Linux disrupted software
“Right on schedule we get the arrival of a new open technology, which are blockchains that directly challenge The proprietary data business model, just as the internet and Linux challenged the proprietary software and distribution business model.”
What-if
Dixon: An asset tied to Linux adoption would have been legendary
“If you could have invested in something that, that, that had some correlation to the adoption of Linux, it would have been one of the all-time great investments.”
Insight
Armstrong: Strong Developer Traction Signals 5-10 Year Platform Growth
“If you look at traditionally things that have gotten a lot of developer interest like Linux or Android or whatever it sometimes takes five years or 10 years, but they eventually end up being massive platforms.”
Assertion Supported
Liebert: Enterprise data centers are undergoing a tectonic shift to Linux
“We're seeing this tectonic shift right now in data centers from Windows over to Linux.”
Assertion Supported
Chris Dixon: Linux has completely won the server operating system market
“Linux is so, people don't understand, some people don't understand, it's so thoroughly one.”
Insight
Levine: Containers outperform virtual machines by standardizing on Linux
“Containers use far less compute resources there. You know, it used to be where I had to support Windows and Linux on a machine, therefore virtual machines are important. Now it's only Linux on both sides. Linux as the base operating system and running within t…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ali Yahya: Traditional open source captured very little value created
“And what's interesting is in, in neither of those two worlds, at least historically, like pre-crypto, has much of the value that those open source contribute been captured.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: In the early 90s, Mac had more web servers than Linux
“Mac had more share of web servers than Linux, and the World Wide Web was three percent of internet traffic.”