why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Wozniak: The iPhone was conceptually designed as an iPod with phone features
“And then the iPhone was even better. And it was based on the iPod, not the reverse, not a phone. And we'll include an iPod more like it's an iPod, but you get a phone with it.”
Insight
Nazarov: The tech industry overrates top-down innovation due to survivorship bias
“On the top-down approach, I think we give too much weight to the beauty of top-down. You know, we only see it when it works, that there's the genius iPod product, there's the genius iPhone product, but, you know, how many, what, how many hundreds of products d…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Markoff: Steve Jobs was first to commercialize ubiquitous ambient computing
“Steve Jobs was the first guy to get that. You take a microprocessor, and you combine it with a music player, and you've got an iPod. You take a microprocessor, you combine it with a telephone, you've got a smartphone. He was the first guy to really take advant…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Apple launched the iPod as a desperate Hail Mary move
“People always talk about like the brave, it's like their computer business was Dead, dead, dead. Like there was, it was like three percent share and going nowhere. So like it was like a Hail Mary. The iPod was a Hail Mary.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: The iPod launched Apple's Cupertino-designed, China-made model
“That was really the start of designed in Cupertino, manufactured in China.”
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Apple iPod lifetime sales nearly doubled the Sony Walkman
“Apparently the unit life, someone said to me, lifetime sales of the Sony Walkman were about two hundred and fifty million units. So they sell, you know, almost double, you know, the Sony Walkman.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple generated $65 billion in lifetime revenue from 400 million iPods
“They sold, what was it, four hundred million of them, and they did something like sixty-five billion dollars of revenue.”