why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
George: Google's Gemini models are currently state-of-the-art across multiple domains
“They actually have the best models right now. Like, they have the leading, you know, the state-of-the-art models in Gemini across a bunch of different domains.”
Assertion Supported
Moore: ChatGPT Is 30x Larger Than Claude on Web, 80x on Mobile
“On web, they're 2.7 times bigger than Gemini. On mobile, they're 2.5 times bigger than Gemini. And then, despite, again, like, the kind of tech Twitter discourse Claude, they're almost 30 times bigger than Claude on web, and almost 80 times bigger than Claude …”
Assertion Supported
Olivia Moore: Gemini hits 50% of ChatGPT scale on Android, 17% on iOS
“Like, if you look at Android, Gemini is at, like, 50% of ChatGPT's scale on mobile, whereas on iOS it's, like, 17%.”
Assertion Supported
Labenz: Google's AI Co-Scientist solved an open virology problem independently
“And they gave it legitimately unsolved problems in science, and in one particularly famous, kind of notorious case, it came up with a Hypothesis, which it wasn't able to verify because it doesn't have direct access to actually run the experiments in the lab, b…”
Assertion Supported
Google Gemini reaches half of ChatGPT's mobile app traffic
“Gemini was number two. It was right behind ChatGPT. It has just about 10% of ChatGPT's traffic on web, but it's much closer on mobile. It's like half of ChatGPT's traffic on the mobile app, which is interesting. It's mostly Android users, which I think you wou…”
Assertion Supported
Moore: China Has Lowest Combined ChatGPT and Gemini Usage at 15%
“They actually have the lowest combined Chachi, BT, and Gemini usage of any country. It's only 15%.”