why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson-Wee: P2P protocols will eventually compete with Web 2.0 giants like Uber and Twitter
“Many of the major Web two point O companies that have seen a substantial growth in the last 15 years, this is Twitter, Tumblr, Etsy, eBay, Uber, every single one of these companies could someday see competition from a peer peer-to-peer protocol.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sundararajan: Gig Economy Capital Ownership Could Reduce Long-Term Income Inequality
“So by the same argument, if we increase the fraction of the population who are owners, if we shift people away from being labor providers and towards being owners of tiny short-term accommodation businesses on Airbnb, of tiny retail operations on Etsy, of like…”
Assertion Supported
Patel: AI labs are buying RL environments for Amazon and Shopify
“Everyone knows that, like, Anthropic and OpenAI and all the other labs are buying RL environments of Amazon and of, like, Shopify and of Etsy and of all the different ways to shop on the internet. Of airline websites, right?”
Assertion Partly supported
Patel: 10% of Etsy's traffic originates from AI chatbots
“It's like Etsy, 10% of their traffic now comes from chat. And OpenAI makes nothing off of that.”
Opinion
Deb Liu warns mass-manufactured products risk undermining Etsy's core brand authenticity
“But then if they're manufactured in mass production, they're going to feel really inauthentic to me as a buyer. And so I think they're walking a really fine line of growth as well as authenticity.”
Assertion Supported
Mougayar: OpenBazaar eliminates marketplace fees, saving sellers 8% to 10%
“In the, on, on OpenBazaar, and there are no listing fees. There are no fees that eBay or Etsy, whoever is in the middle, is going to be asking the sellers typically. So off the bat, there's like eight to nine to 10% that you can save initially.”
Opinion
Boris Wertz: Etsy best executed combining online and offline marketplace community
“I think Etsy overall is probably the marketplace that has done, you know, the best around a really strong community that combines both online and offline elements.”