William Mougayar

Author & Investor · 1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

authorinvestorfounderanalyst@wmougayar ↗LinkedIn ↗wmougayar.com ↗

William Mougayar is a blockchain investor, researcher, and author of The Business Blockchain. He is the founder of The Token Summit and has served as a special advisor to the Ethereum Foundation.

20statements → 11claims → 3claims resolved → 100%fully supported → 3.8/5average certainty → 2.4/5average debate potential →

3 supported 0 partly supported 0 contradicted 8 not checkable as stated how the 11 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

7 predictions · 4 assertions · 3 opinions · 6 insights · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 11 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 3 are resolved, and 8 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how William argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Mougayar: OpenBazaar eliminates marketplace fees, saving sellers 8% to 10%
“In the, on, on OpenBazaar, and there are no listing fees. There are no fees that eBay or Etsy, whoever is in the middle, is going to be asking the sellers typically. So off the bat, there's like eight to nine to 10% that you can save initially.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:37 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
none yet certainty 3
100% certainty 4
100% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: speaking style how? →

231 words/min while actually speaking · 46.6 um and uh per 1k words · 33.8 false starts per 1k · 24.1% of pauses land inside a clause

No argument clarity score for William Mougayar: only 2 usable question→answer exchanges on raw tape (a fair score needs 8+). We do not score a sample that small. Roundtable and news formats yield far fewer direct exchanges than interviews.

Measured by listening to the audio itself: 4,979 words across 1 episode of raw-level tape, transcribed verbatim with every um and uh kept, each one attributed only where the alignment onto our timed stream is unambiguous. These are measurements of speaking style. We do not rank them: across this corpus, fluency and argument quality are nearly uncorrelated (ρ≈0.2), and smooth talking does not signal clear thinking. How it's measured →

Everything William Mougayar said on the a16z Podcast that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Opinion
Mougayar: Craig Wright's Satoshi Nakamoto claim is a PR stunt
“Instead, it sounds like, it looks like a PR stunt. That person, Sasoshi Nakamoto, I wouldn't expect A PR stunt from that person. I would expect a technical kind of undertaking when he would come out, if that is the case.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 39:10 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Insight
Mougayar: Blockchain unbundles trust, threatening traditional intermediaries
“Because what the blockchain does, it unbundles trust. And whoever was performing a trust function now is going to be threatened because trust can be accomplished by the network.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:53 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mougayar: Future blockchain apps will bypass the World Wide Web
“So we're going to be seeing in the future blockchain applications, and blockchain applications do not need the web. They go and attach themselves directly on the internet.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:46 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mougayar: Every existing web service will get a decentralized version
“So just about every version of anything that we see today on the web will have and might have a version of a decentralized version of it.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:21 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mougayar: Blockchain will replace physical in-person identity verification
“All of those old ways of verifying things by being physically present are going to be replaced by the blockchain.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:48 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mougayar: Blockchain scalability will not be a showstopper
“Right now, I don't think scalability is, is going to be a showstopper. It is a challenge, but you put six engineers in a room and they will solve the problem.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:54 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Assertion Supported
Mougayar: OpenBazaar eliminates marketplace fees, saving sellers 8% to 10%
“In the, on, on OpenBazaar, and there are no listing fees. There are no fees that eBay or Etsy, whoever is in the middle, is going to be asking the sellers typically. So off the bat, there's like eight to nine to 10% that you can save initially.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:37 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mougayar: Banks will become back-end infrastructure for digital front-end apps
“There will be many scenarios, but one of them is that they become more of a back end. If you think about it, now we are connecting more and more services to our bank account, and we are manipulating this money, but without touching the bank account itself. And…”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:30 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Assertion Supported
Mougayar: German utility RWE partners with Slock.it for automated EV charging
“There's a company, there's an energy company in Germany, AWE that's going to be working with a company called Slocket, where they're going to allow electric vehicles to charge themselves when they are stopped, let's say, at a red light And automatically it's g…”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 35:40 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Assertion Supported
Mougayar: Brooklyn neighbors are trading excess energy via Ethereum
“Today, there's a street in Brooklyn where neighbors are selling and buying excess energy from each other on an Ethereum-enabled blockchain service. So they are going peer-to-peer. And this is happening right now.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 37:05 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Opinion
Mougayar: The World Wide Web has become too centralized
“So we could argue that the web as it is today 20 plus years after its first commercialization has become a bit too, too centralized for our liking.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:44 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mougayar: Blockchains will eventually become invisible to users
“In the long term, blockchains are going to be invisible. And when they become invisible, then I think we will know that they are doing something useful.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:28 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mougayar: Identity on the blockchain will be a major emerging sector
“There are probably, there's probably at least a dozen companies I know of that are tackling the identity issue on the blockchain in a different way, and there will be different ways to skin that kind cat, but identity on the blockchain is, is going to be a big…”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:46 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Insight
Mougayar: Banks seek self-improvement, not self-disruption from blockchain
“My observation is that the banks want to improve themselves. But they don't want to disrupt themselves.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:14 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Insight
Mougayar: Banks struggle to integrate startup culture into corporate environments
“Yeah, but then the real task is to bring the animal home and see if you can domesticate them or not. That is the real task because a startup is wild. And so can they bring something wild into the domesticated environment and let them thrive or not? Or will the…”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:01 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Insight
Mougayar: Enterprise blockchain strategies based only on cost savings are weak
“If your blockchain strategy is, is about saving costs and then doing things a little bit faster, I would say it's a weak blockchain strategy. There has to be an innovation component in your strategy.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 31:38 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Insight
Mougayar: Enterprise blockchain adoption is 80% business and 20% technology
“I keep saying this is about 80% business and 20% technology.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 32:02 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Insight
Mougayar: Corporate blockchain labs should aim to obsolete themselves quickly
“Their job should be to obsolete themselves very quickly because their job is to infiltrate, to make all, to make this blockchain thing infiltrate everywhere. And that's, their job will be done when they are out of a job.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 33:12 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Opinion
Mougayar: Half of current blockchain innovations are projects, not startups
“Right now, maybe half of the innovation that I'm seeing in the blockchain space, I would label them more as projects as opposed to startups.”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 34:40 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mougayar: Active blockchain networks cannot be stopped
“No, it doesn't matter because the technology is already in the wild. It's already on wheels. It's flying. It's a nonstop kind of set of computers. Blockchains, once, once you turn them on and they are bona fide blockchains, it's, that's it. They cannot be stop…”
William Mougayar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 38:01 a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
a16z Podcast | Banking on the Blockchain Jan 2, 2019 27m
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