why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2019
Chen: Apple will never make an Apple Watch compatible with Android
“So you're never, you're not going to see watch that works with an Android phone, right? Like, they're just not going to do that.”
Assertion Supported
Casado: Zero-click phone exploits cost $2M-$2.5M on the black market
“If you were to buy on the black market an exploit to break into a phone, for example, an Android phone, it would cost about 2.5 million dollars if it doesn't require the participation of the user. If you wanted to break into an iPhone, it's about two million d…”
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: Unsubsidized Android smartphones cost as little as $30 in rural Uganda
“But you can get an Android phone for 30 dollars today. Not 30 dollars with subsidy and contract. 30 dollars cash in a market in rural Uganda. You can buy an Android phone for that.”
Opinion
Evans: Nokia Windows phones felt more premium than any Android device
“I actually always felt that the Nokia Windows phones felt more premium than any premium Android phone”
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Over 95% of non-China Android devices run latest Google Play Services
“So on the one hand, something like 96, 97% of all live Android phones outside China Where Google isn't present, but all the ones outside China that are therefore mostly connected to Google. Over 95% of these things have the latest player version of Google Play…”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Average price of an Android phone is about $250
“The average price of an Android phone is about 250 dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: iPhones average $600 while Android phones average $250-$300
“Another reason is that iPhones average 600 dollars, and Android phones seem to average about 250 to 300 dollars.”