The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 26 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Evans: Google generates more revenue on iOS than on Android
“You know, Google is making more money on iOS and Android right now.”
Evans: Google contracts block OEMs from selling both Google and forked Android
“Well, the problem for them is that Google's contract says you're not allowed to sell a forked and uncompatible and open version of Android. And, or if you do, you can't sell a single phone that has Google services on it.”
Olivia Moore: Gemini hits 50% of ChatGPT scale on Android, 17% on iOS
“Like, if you look at Android, Gemini is at, like, 50% of ChatGPT's scale on mobile, whereas on iOS it's, like, 17%.”
Evans: Global iOS and Android devices will reach five billion
“There's one and a half billion PCs on Earth. There's three billion iOS and Android devices on Earth. We'll go to five billion.”
Andreessen predicts WhatsApp, iPhone, and Android will reach 1 billion users
“And then like WhatsApp is going to do it, and then there's going to be a whole bunch of others. And I, you know, iPhone is going to do it, and Android is going to do it.”
Evans: iOS users spend four times more than Android users
“You have double the revenue on iOS for half the users, and so very roughly four times the spend.”
Evans predicts active iOS and Android devices will reach four billion globally
“And we'll go to four billion iOS and Android.”
Evans: Apple's iOS 8 extensions lagged behind Android by three years
“And so, you know, again, it's a bit like multitasking, that Apple is doing something that was on Android like three years earlier.”
Chan: Google Play drives under 10% of Chinese Android app downloads
“Google Play, I believe is less than 10% of Android app downloads.”
Balaji Srinivasan: Google will eventually merge Chrome OS and Android
“Obviously, I think it's, you know, like, there's going to be some fusion of Chrome OS and Android now that they're both folding into the same person.”
Active Android devices will reach 2-3B; iOS will reach 700-900M
“And, you know, as things play out with the current dynamics, which aren't really going to change in the next two or three years, we will end up with seven, eight, nine hundred million iOS devices in use on Earth. It's probably about 500 now. And we'll end up w…”
Evans: Google bypassed Android OS fragmentation using Google Play Services
“Always been kind of trying to get the handset makers to do operating system updates, and it's never worked. But they sort of got around that part of the fragmentation problem for their own services by putting Google Play services on top of everything.”
Evans: Android launchers focused on alternative app discovery failed
“And so we had this whole wave, of course, of Android launches that were all about trying to create new ways of discovering apps, and those almost all seem to, none of those seem to have worked.”
Evans: Apple holds only half of the high-end smartphone market
“When you look at the high end segment, that Apple is really the only place Apple competes they've probably only got around half of that segment, and the other half is high end Android, and almost all of that high end Android is with bigger screens.”
Google has never disclosed revenue data for Google Play
“They haven't given any statistics at all on Android in nine months and they haven't, they've never given any data on Google Play. I mean, they've given app downloads, but they've never given revenue data”
Evans: Smartphone sales exceed the camera industry's entire historical unit sales
“And more iPhone and Android, more iPhones and Android phones have been sold and were sold by the camera industry in its entire history.”
Wholesale entry-level 3G Android phones cost $25-$30 and 4G cost $40
“And incidentally, the entry price of an Android, three G Android phone now, with half a gig of memory, is probably 40 to 50, no. 25 to 30 dollars wholesale. And then four G is more like 40 dollars.”
Evans: Unsubsidized Android smartphones now cost as little as $30 to $40
“A mobile entry price of a mobile phone now is five to 10 dollars to buy the phone, and an Android phone is 30 to 40 dollars, and that's not subsidized price, that's the actual price of buying the thing.”
Evans: Samsung once controlled half of the global Android market by volume
“Samsung had half of the Android market by volume, more or less, and so that was kind of concerning for Google, that you had this big, powerful partner.”
Android smartphones in Myanmar cost less than early African feature phones
“It's now cheaper to get an Android-based smartphone, you know, made in China or elsewhere than it was to buy a candy bar phone in Africa back when they were coming online.”
Google: Average Android user checks their phone 120 times daily
“They gave a statistic in the event of let me kind of check my notes the number of people who yeah, Android, an average Android user checks their phone a 120 times a day”
Evans: One-third of the global Android market operates without Google services
“There's two-thirds of Android, which is the one that Google gives numbers for, is outside China, and then there's another third of Android, which is in China, and doesn't have Google Play on it or Google Maps on it”
Frank Chen: Android speech recognition stems from Hinton and Bengio's research
“Worked on elaboration of these neural networks called deep belief networks, and their research led directly to what you use every day in Android if you talk to Android. So the speech-to-text algorithms that are in Android are direct descendants of some of Jeff…”
Evans: Android entry prices dropped to $30 to $40 in 2015
“The average price of an Android device, on the other hand, is currently about 250 dollars, and the entry price for Android today is only 30 or 40 dollars.”
Evans: Apple has 10% of global phone sales vs Android's 50%
“Apple has maybe 10% of all the phones being sold on Earth, but Android has maybe 50%.”
Evans: Standard Android is too resource-heavy for simple smart home devices
“Essentially, if you've got a connected light bulb, or connected thermostat, or something, Android probably doesn't fit on that device, just because it's too small and too cheap, and not, hasn't got enough memory or, and CPU storage.”