why aren't all 65 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Sub-$50 Androids make charging and data the main adoption barriers
“In fact, the main barrier to adoption is actually data pricing and the ability to charge your phone. It's not access to a smartphone itself because Android is now dropping well under 50 dollars for a unit.”
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: 95% of Android devices ship with Google Mobile Services
“Well, 95% of devices have got GMS”
Assertion Supported
Wholesale entry-level 3G Android phones cost $25-$30 and 4G cost $40
“And incidentally, the entry price of an Android, three G Android phone now, with half a gig of memory, is probably 40 to 50, no. 25 to 30 dollars wholesale. And then four G is more like 40 dollars.”
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: iOS and Android ship 1.5B units annually with 3B active devices
“IOS, Android, doing over one and a half billion units this year, and probably over three billion of those things in the world today.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Unsubsidized Android smartphones now cost as little as $30 to $40
“A mobile entry price of a mobile phone now is five to 10 dollars to buy the phone, and an Android phone is 30 to 40 dollars, and that's not subsidized price, that's the actual price of buying the thing.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Samsung once controlled half of the global Android market by volume
“Samsung had half of the Android market by volume, more or less, and so that was kind of concerning for Google, that you had this big, powerful partner.”
Assertion Supported
Android smartphones in Myanmar cost less than early African feature phones
“It's now cheaper to get an Android-based smartphone, you know, made in China or elsewhere than it was to buy a candy bar phone in Africa back when they were coming online.”
Assertion Supported
Google: Average Android user checks their phone 120 times daily
“They gave a statistic in the event of let me kind of check my notes the number of people who yeah, Android, an average Android user checks their phone a 120 times a day”
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: iPhone ASP is $600 compared to Android's $250 average
“They sell a phone that an average of 600 dollars, In an industry that averages about a 180, and Android averages about 250. And in the high-end space, they have, as it might be, two thirds to three quarters of the market, and Samsung has most of the rest.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: One-third of the global Android market operates without Google services
“There's two-thirds of Android, which is the one that Google gives numbers for, is outside China, and then there's another third of Android, which is in China, and doesn't have Google Play on it or Google Maps on it”
Assertion Partly supported
Apple holds 10% and Android 45-50% of global phone sales
“In as much as Apple has about, well, in the launch quarter, they have about 10% of all the phones sold on Earth, and Android has another 45 to 50% although only about two-thirds of those are Google Android and one-third are in China and don't have any Google s…”
Assertion Supported
Frank Chen: Android speech recognition stems from Hinton and Bengio's research
“Worked on elaboration of these neural networks called deep belief networks, and their research led directly to what you use every day in Android if you talk to Android. So the speech-to-text algorithms that are in Android are direct descendants of some of Jeff…”
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Apple holds 15% of global phone sales, Android 50-60%
“Apple has about 15% of all the phones sold on Earth, and Android is the next 50 to 60%, and then the rest are feature phones that are converting very fast to those 35 dollar Androids I talked about earlier.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Android entry prices dropped to $30 to $40 in 2015
“The average price of an Android device, on the other hand, is currently about 250 dollars, and the entry price for Android today is only 30 or 40 dollars.”
Insight
Evans: Cheap Android devices drive rapid smartphone adoption in emerging markets
“Not a smartphone yet, but that's converting quite quickly to smartphones. And of course the thing that drives that is cheap Android.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple has 10% of global phone sales vs Android's 50%
“Apple has maybe 10% of all the phones being sold on Earth, but Android has maybe 50%.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Standard Android is too resource-heavy for simple smart home devices
“Essentially, if you've got a connected light bulb, or connected thermostat, or something, Android probably doesn't fit on that device, just because it's too small and too cheap, and not, hasn't got enough memory or, and CPU storage.”