why aren't all 41 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Biden administration sued to block a16z portfolio's Sanofi drug deal
“We have a company with an incredible drug platform. They cured. A rare disease, like past phase one clinical trials, carried it, sell the drug to Sanofi because, you know, so they can get some of the money back to develop more things, and the Biden administrat…”
Assertion Supported
Casado: AI startups are the fastest-growing companies in internet history
“We're seeing the fastest growing companies we've seen in the history of the internet, including, by the way, the internet itself. And this is by measure for revenue or the number of users, et cetera, right?”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: a16z captured 18.3% of all US venture capital in 2025
“And so this last year, 25, about 18 point, what is it, 18.3% of all venture capital raised in the U.S. Was raised by us.”
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: All a16z general partners must be former founders or CEOs
“We decided that the general partners at Andreessen Horowitz would all be people who had been founders or CEOs or both of tech startups”
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Adjusted for delayed IPOs, capital flowing into tech is flat
“In our deck we basically show if you adjust for the IPOs that aren't happening and the companies are staying private, it's basically, it's almost a flat amount of money actually flowing into tech.”
Assertion Partly supported
Moore: Singapore Ranks #1 in Per-Capita AI Adoption, US Ranks #20
“So Singapore is number one. Then Hong Kong, then the UAE, then South Korea. The US is down at number 20, so not super low, not incredibly high. Russia and China are, like, very far down the list, like, sub 50.”
Assertion Supported
George: Aggregate unicorn market cap reached $3.5 trillion, growing 7x in a decade
“If you take the market cap of, you know, the private markets valued above a billion dollars, you know, we could argue are some of them overvalued, undervalued but that whole value in aggregate Is like three and a half trillion dollars, and that's like 11%, thr…”
Prediction Held up
Ulevitch: a16z Will Shift Defense Investments Into Mining and Supply Chains
“I think as you look to the future, I mean, everyone has their own view of what the future will look like for American dynamism, but I think we, you'll see us increasingly shift left. That's why we look at minerals and we look at critical, critical minerals and…”
Assertion Supported
Google Gemini reaches half of ChatGPT's mobile app traffic
“Gemini was number two. It was right behind ChatGPT. It has just about 10% of ChatGPT's traffic on web, but it's much closer on mobile. It's like half of ChatGPT's traffic on the mobile app, which is interesting. It's mostly Android users, which I think you wou…”
Assertion Contradicted
Andreessen: Only a16z and Khosla Ventures raised funds in 2009
“There were only two venture capital funds raised in all of 2009. It was us and a new couple of ventures fund, and Benoad, of course, was one of the legends of venture capital, so he was able to do that, but we were the only other literally venture fund raised …”
Assertion Partly supported
Horowitz: Andreessen Horowitz was the first venture firm to market itself
“We actually were the first ones to market a firm in venture capital and, you know, market wet markets did like an amazing job of, you know, creating a brand for a firm that, You know, popped up out of nowhere. And that had never happened before”
Assertion Supported
Only 5-6 GenAI apps overlap between top 50 web and mobile lists
“I think there was only five or six companies that made both lists.”
Assertion Supported
Multiple top mobile AI apps are copycat wrappers arbitraging OpenAI's models
“So there are quite a few apps on our mobile app list that are essentially copycat products and using OpenAI's own model, but are named slightly differently, and are just kind of playing this, like, maybe short to medium term arbitrage on App Store optimization…”
Assertion Partly supported
Lai: 87% of surveyed game studios use generative AI tools
“So we surveyed 230 game studios earlier this year. And it turns out that 87% of them are already using generative AI tools. And so some of the products that they named include ChatGPT, Midjourney, 11 Labs, KDEM, Adobe Firefly, GitHub Copilot, et cetera. And th…”
Assertion Supported
Cooper: Any Andreessen Horowitz GP can independently approve investments
“Here at Injuries and Horowitz, we do things differently, which is as long as people follow the process, you know, consistently, you know, any single general partner has the ability to ultimately make a decision to invest and go on the board of a company.”
Assertion Supported
a16z fines partners $10 per minute for being late to founder meetings
“If you're late to meeting with an entrepreneur at Andreessen Horowitz, 10 dollars a minute.”
Assertion Partly supported
Kalanick: a16z's initial Lyft investment was valued at $210 million
“And the deal on Lyft was two 10.”
Assertion Supported
Chris Lyons: Andreessen Horowitz was modeled after CAA's service model
“The firm was actually built off Of CAA's model, and Ovitz was on the board of Mark and Ben's company, and so that's where they originally got the idea for A-sixteen Z and having a service-based model”
Assertion Supported
Rampell: a16z Originally Required All Check Writers to Be Founders
“The firm originally was the only people that we will have write checks are people that have run a company or started a company.”
Assertion Supported
a16z raised its first $300M fund in three months during 2009 downturn
“And then I think, if I remember correctly, you had done it in three months, which at the time seemed very spectacular because there was no money.”
Assertion Partly supported
Boyle: Apex Space Reached Orbit in Record 13 Months From Design
“We were one of the earliest investors in a company called Apex Space. I believe they are the fastest company to get from clean sheet design to orbit in 13 months in, in history which is pretty incredible.”
Assertion Supported
Most top consumer AI apps rely on third-party models
“More than half of them are actually hosting or using other people's models or are model aggregators.”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: a16z operates as seven distinct practices on shared infrastructure
“We've basically recreated the original Fund One seven times, so every team is like The original Andreessen Horowitz. So we really have like seven Andreessen Horwitzes, but with common infrastructure you know, common LP relations, common brand, common culture.”
Assertion Supported
Ulevitch: Andreessen Horowitz is the world's largest venture capital firm
“I think we are the largest venture capital firm in the world.”
Assertion Supported
Moore: Top AI mobile apps by usage and revenue only overlap 40%
“So for the first time, we actually ranked the top 50 by What Sensor Tower can measure as mobile revenue, which is typically in-app purchases and subscriptions, so probably not ads. And we ranked those separately from what has the most monthly active users. And…”
Assertion Supported
Moore: Three AI companion products ranked in the GenAI 100 top 10
“I think we had three companion products in the top 10. Two of them were NSFW oriented.”
Assertion Supported
Haber: Tenor reduces patient intake admin costs by 90%
“We have a company, you know, it's an example called Tenor that is doing this in a healthcare context. So, you know, the problem that they're solving specifically is is around patient referrals. So you go to your general practitioner, they're referring you to a…”
Assertion Partly supported
Andreessen: a16z has no GPs who were former professional VCs
“Our entire firm actually consists of people who were operators our eight general partners were all founders or CEOs or both and ran companies. We actually don't have, the one thing we don't have in our firm are any former professional venture capitalists.”
Assertion Partly supported
Zipline performs 500 autonomous drone blood deliveries daily in Rwanda
“Our portfolio company Zipline is delivering blood where it's needed throughout Western Rwanda. There's one place they collect blood in Western Rwanda. There are tons of places they need it, but sometimes it's dangerous or time consuming to get to the place tha…”
Prediction Held up
Tornberg: a16z to deploy internal media experts to portfolio startups
“Now that we've had them build art platforms, we're going to deploy them to work on behalf of our companies.”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Andreessen Horowitz's First Fund Was $300M and Took 6 Months
“When Mark and I raised Fund One, it was a three hundred million dollar fund. I think it took about six months to raise.”
Assertion Supported
Google AI Studio ranks in top 10 consumer AI web apps
“The other big debut for Google was a little more surprising to me. It's actually AI Studio, which is Google's developer-facing sandbox. So that's where engineers go when they want to build things and test out Google models. So that hit in the top 10 as well.”
Assertion Supported
Moore: Plant ID apps ranked high in mobile AI revenue, not usage
“One example of a category that did appear on the mobile revenue list, but was not on mobile usage, Was several plant identification apps.”
Assertion Partly supported
a16z launched American Dynamism thesis three weeks before 2022 Ukraine invasion
“We launched the thesis three weeks before Russia invaded Ukraine in, in twenty-twenty-two.”
Assertion Supported
AI companion apps on a16z's top web list grew from 2 to 8
“I think on the first list there were two companion products, and I think there were eight on the most recent one.”
Assertion Contradicted
Every mobile app on a16z's GenAI ranking is brand new
“All the mobile companies were brand new to the list.”
Assertion Supported
a16z employs around 100 operating experts to support founders
“We have about a hundred people who have expertise in a particular field, and their job is to have to be available to the founders”
Assertion Supported
Andreessen Horowitz Launched Its First Fund in 2009 With 20 LPs
“So the firm was started, we raised the first fund in 2009 which was in the height of the stock market, the depths of the stock market crash after the height of the financial crisis of 2008, and then yeah, so we had the first LP meeting in two, 20 10, so this i…”
Assertion Partly supported
a16z evaluated over 12,000 companies for the Marketplace 100
“We expanded our sample size by three times, so there were more than 12,000 companies that we looked at when deciding kind of what would go in the marketplace 100.”
Assertion Supported
a16z 2023 Marketplace 100 features nearly three dozen newcomers
“And this year's list features nearly three dozen newcomers, including marketplaces for refurbished electronics, precious metals, and sustainably reused meat.”
Assertion Supported
Chen: Personally owned cars are utilized only 5% of the day
“Our own cars are utilized maybe five percent of the day today.”