Assertion Supported AI assessment confidence: 95% certainty 4/5 debate potential 2/5

Ganguli: FDA-approved drugs target only 800 of roughly 20,000 human genes

Surya Ganguli · AI at the Intersection of Bio | Vijay Pande, Surya Ganguli & Bowen Liu · Oct 3, 2024 · at 11:01

Surya Ganguli, venture partner at a16z Bio + Health, explains the vast untapped genomic space remaining for novel AI-designed therapies.

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“FDA approved drugs they target only 800 of the 20,000 known genes that we have, 20 to 25,000 known genes that we have.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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Ganguli: Specialized Models Beat Fine-Tuned Foundation Models for Specific Tasks
“You really, I think you're best off with a specialized model trained on the data that's very relevant to the thing, the task you want to solve. Your second best bet is to start with a foundation model that understands the broad space and fine tune it. Again, o…”
Surya Ganguli Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 16:11 AI at the Intersection of Bio | Vijay Pande, Surya Ganguli & Bowen Liu
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Ganguli: Evolutionary robustness proves low-dimensional structure controls biological function
“Biological systems have survived for almost four billion years of evolution. They've tolerated all sorts of insults, competition, and so forth, so they're extremely robust. Because they're robust, their function can't depend on all of the details. That means t…”
Surya Ganguli Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 21:53 AI at the Intersection of Bio | Vijay Pande, Surya Ganguli & Bowen Liu
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Ganguli: ESMFold proves language models can learn protein structure from sequences
“I was actually really impressed by ESM fold, this average scale modeling where you could kind of do the same thing that you do for language, but do it for sequences. And then you learn representations that know about the structure of proteins.”
Surya Ganguli Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 0:47 AI at the Intersection of Bio | Vijay Pande, Surya Ganguli & Bowen Liu
Assertion Supported
Ganguli: ESM-3 model trained on 2.8 billion amino acid sequences
“ESM-III with evolutionary scale modeling did the same language modeling, but now on amino acid sequences of about 2.8 billion sequences, right?”
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Assertion Supported
Ganguli: Bringing a drug to market costs $2.5B and takes 10–15 years
“The cost of drug design, I mean, I know in the industry this is well known, but it's worth, worth emphasizing, it's 2.5 billion dollars per drug in 10 to 15 years, right?”
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Assertion Supported
Ganguli: 90% of drug candidates fail to achieve FDA approval
“90% of drug candidates don't get FDA approval.”
Surya Ganguli Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 10:44 AI at the Intersection of Bio | Vijay Pande, Surya Ganguli & Bowen Liu
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