Prediction Held up AI assessment confidence: 95% certainty 5/5 debate potential 2/5

Caplan: Maintains a standing open commitment to bet on his own assertions

Bryan Caplan · a16z Podcast | The Case Against Education, From Signaling to Rainbow's End · Jan 2, 2019 · at 44:25

Bryan Caplan, economics professor at George Mason University, explains how he uses an open offer to place monetary bets to maintain intellectual discipline.

0:00 / 0:07exact quote · 7.9s
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“I have a blanket announcement. If you think that I'm saying something ridiculous, let's form a bet on it. And like, I'm sticking my neck out. I am always open to bets”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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Assertion Not checkable as stated
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Assertion Not checkable as stated
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