Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khanna: Global infrastructure and supply chains are replacing nation-state borders
“And once every 500 years, we have this kind of systemic transformation in how human society is organized. And so, you know, we're moving from the world of nations and borders to what I call the world of flow and friction in which infrastructure and supply chai…”
Opinion
Khanna: Russian pipeline company Transneft undermines Putin to protect its revenue
“Instead, Transneft wants to make money, and Transneft can't make money if it's not selling oil and gas. So it is a Kremlin-backed-owned company that is actually doing the most to undermine Putin's foreign policy because it doesn't want to lose money off the fl…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Khanna: Tech and telecom firms will spend $4 trillion on infrastructure by 2020
“These telecom and technology and kind of, you know, data industry companies invest about, you know, it's estimated that between now and twenty-twenty, let alone all the trillions that have been spent so far, will spend another four trillion dollars just on the…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khanna: Younger generations will identify with corporate employers over nation-states
“And this is a particular thing that will expand, you know, with generation Y and millennials and certainly generation Z, you know, with my kids, because they will feel increasingly like they will go wherever the work takes them and they will identify with, you…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khanna: Ethereum and blockchain lower global shipping and trade costs
“So of course, Ethereum you know, and blockchain technologies really reduce the transaction cost and the transparency and the security. Of participating in global economic transactions, in getting your goods from, you know, the village in country X to the big c…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khanna: Portable freelancer insurance and unions are the future of labor
“And then freelancers union, which used to be when I lived in New York five years ago, I was a member of freelancers union. I was getting my health insurance and so forth. Now it's really growing and growing. At a massive rate, and they're looking at portable i…”
Assertion Supported
Khanna: Philippines surpassed India in call center workers and revenues
“The Philippines now has more workers and more revenues from call centers than India does because they physically made a plan.”
Insight
Khanna: Regulatory arbitrage is a race to the top for developing nations
“We used to believe that countries would relax all sorts of regulations in order to attract investment of any kind, and that was the kind of 19 seventies and 19 eighties of Asia. But in fact, I argue that it's actually a race to the top because this is how coun…”
Assertion Contradicted
Khanna: Special economic zones generate 50% of Central American GDP
“50% of the GDP of Central American countries is derived from the manufacturing and textile exports that are produced in those zones.”
Assertion Contradicted
Khanna: 25% of China's GDP derives from special economic zones
“It's like 25% of China's GDP still comes from the exports generated in the special economic zone.”
Assertion Supported
Khanna: Reverse pipelines supply Russian gas to Ukraine via Western Europe
“The target country for Russia is of course, Ukraine. But now that Russia has built so many, is building so many new pipelines to Europe that circumvent Ukraine, Europe is building what are called reverse pipelines that take the gas that goes from Russia to Ger…”
Assertion Partly supported
Khanna: Africa is the fastest-growing international market for Indian telecom giants
“Tata, again, Tata, Reliance, all of these Indian telecommunications companies, where's their biggest growing footprint besides their home market? It's Africa.”
Assertion Partly supported
Khanna: US gig workers now outnumber manufacturing workers by millions
“We're at the point now where there are more people, Surviving in the sharing economy, you know, so as, you know, part-time workers, digital workforce, gigonomists, whatever term you want to use, you know, freelancers as a whole, some estimate 30 to forty milli…”
Assertion Supported
Khanna: Average Facebook user's international friends rose to 15-16%
“If you look at the number of, for example, international friends that people have on Facebook, it used to be only, you know, four or five percent of an average person's friends were from another country, and now it's risen to like 15 or 16%.”
Assertion Partly supported
Khanna: Top 300 cities represent most of global economic output
“The sort of top 300 cities in the world represent most of the world economy.”
Assertion Supported
Khanna: Global special economic zones grew from a couple to 4,000
“In, in 50 years ago, there were only a couple of special economic zones in the world. Today we have 4000 of them.”
Assertion Supported
Khanna: Countries with most special economic zones grow fastest
“And that's why, you know, the Philippines and India and Vietnam, these countries that have the most such special economic zones are among the fastest growing countries in the world.”
Assertion Partly supported
Khanna: Global infrastructure includes 2M km of pipelines and 4M km of railways
“Today, we have about two million kilometers of them, right? Not to mention the four million kilometers of railways.”
Assertion Supported
Khanna: 1 million kilometers of fiber optic cables lie underwater
“And there's about one million kilometers Of fiber optic cables under the ocean floor.”
Assertion Partly supported
Khanna: Global expat population reached 300 million
“There used to be about a hundred in the sixties, only a hundred million people living outside their country of origin. Now it's over three hundred million people who are expats.”
Parag Khanna