Jonathan Lusthaus

1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

13statements → 10claims → 5claims resolved → 100%fully supported → 3.77/5average certainty → 2/5average debate potential →

5 supported 0 partly supported 0 contradicted 5 not checkable as stated how the 10 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

10 assertions · 3 insights · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 10 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 5 are resolved, and 5 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Jonathan argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Lusthaus: Cybercrime entities operate out of physical office spaces like tech firms
“And in some cases we see people operating out of physical office space, and they really begin to look like technology companies, and actually they are technology companies, they're just criminal ones.”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 7:16 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
100% certainty 3
100% certainty 4
100% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: speaking style how? →

267 words/min while actually speaking · 3.6 um and uh per 1k words

No argument clarity score for Jonathan Lusthaus: no usable question→answer exchanges on raw tape (a fair score needs 8+). We do not score a sample that small. Roundtable and news formats yield far fewer direct exchanges than interviews.

Measured by listening to 4,691 words across 1 episode, but every recording we have of Jonathan Lusthaus is the aired feed, and an editor cleaned that audio before release. Some of the hesitation was cut before we ever heard it, so read these as floors: the true rates are at least this high. These are measurements of speaking style, not scores. How it's measured →

Everything Jonathan Lusthaus said on the a16z Podcast that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lusthaus: Former Soviet states dominate underground malware coding and development
“So, basically, if we think about sort of former Soviet Union states, they're very well known for the more technical aspects of cybercrime. So, these are primarily the cybercriminals from here are the ones who are responsible for actually coding the malware, fo…”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 9:37 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Insight
Lusthaus: Eastern European tech graduates enter cybercrime due to capital shortages
“What we're seeing is a massive pool of very, very talented people who are highly educated, actually, have an excellent university system. These are people with, you know, degrees in math, science, technology, Engineering. And what's happening is they're coming…”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 14:50 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Assertion Supported
Lusthaus: Cybercrime entities operate out of physical office spaces like tech firms
“And in some cases we see people operating out of physical office space, and they really begin to look like technology companies, and actually they are technology companies, they're just criminal ones.”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 7:16 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lusthaus: Multiple Eastern European cybercriminals have politically connected parents
“I found actually more than a handful of people who were involved in cybercrime in parts of Eastern Europe actually had parents who are very influential people, whether they were law enforcement agents, whether they were political figures.”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 18:40 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Assertion Supported
Lusthaus: LA Street Gangs Converted Prostitution Networks into Credit Card Fraud Schemes
“One of the most interesting ones I think I encountered was examples of street gangs in LA who basically were traditionally running prostitution operations, but what they would do was from time to time convert these operations into a cashing out scheme. So they…”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 20:51 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Insight
Lusthaus: Cybercrime vendors absorb risk by keeping fixed online brands
“But on the other extreme, you get certain cyber criminals who will change their names very regularly. So you might see this particularly around very high level Russian speaking malware coders. So people who are really the top layer of the industry Obviously, I…”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 27:16 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lusthaus: Traditional organized crime is not taking over cybercrime
“So I think, you know, there's a lot of talk about traditional organized crime groups taking over cyber crime. The search I've done, I don't think that's the case. I think they're involved in certain ways, particularly on the money side of things. That's a part…”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 31:29 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Insight
Lusthaus: Cybercriminals maximize profits by structuring themselves like traditional business firms
“And in some cases, these groups look a lot like firms, whether it's a venture capitalist firm, whether it's people selling various products. For criminals, actually, and for cyber criminals, they're also employing a similar structure, which is to have a team o…”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 4:30 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lusthaus: Online malware development groups cap out at 8 to 10 members
“Malware groups that generally the, you know, eight to 10 is probably going to be the largest size involved in, you know, kind of malware operation of writing the code and dealing with the code because it becomes quite difficult to actually sustain the group st…”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 6:55 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lusthaus: Western cybercriminals specialize in cash-out operations
“I think what the West is known for is cash out experts. So these are people who are primarily responsible for converting these sort of virtual gains into monetary or physical ones.”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 10:03 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Assertion Supported
Lusthaus: Carder Planet was the first major online cybercrime marketplace
“Carter Planet was the first marketplace where things really started to take off, and if we're looking for that kind of shift, at least in a symbolic way, that's probably the case where it happened, because you started to see for the first time this sort of lar…”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 3:20 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Assertion Supported
Lusthaus: Roman Seleznev's cybercrime group made tens of millions in fraud
“He and his group had made tens of millions of dollars out of credit card fraud.”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 18:11 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Assertion Supported
Lusthaus: Cybercriminal maintained single online handle over a decade
“So I've encountered one case actually that I talk about in the book of a particular former cyber criminal who's never changed his nickname online. He's basically held the same name, the same nickname, over the course of his entire cyber criminal career. And he…”
Jonathan Lusthaus Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 26:44 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime Feb 26, 2019 20m
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