Ian Cinnamon

Co-Founder and CEO, Apex Space · 1 appearance on the record.

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Ian Cinnamon is the co-founder and CEO of Apex Space, a manufacturer of configurable satellite bus platforms. He previously founded Synapse Technology Corporation, which was acquired by Palantir, and co-founded Superlabs.

6statements → 4claims → 2claims resolved → 4/5average certainty → 2.33/5average debate potential →

1 supported 0 partly supported 1 contradicted 1 not yet assessed 1 not checkable as stated how the 4 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

4 assertions · 1 opinion · 1 disclosure · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 4 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 2 are resolved, 1 is not yet assessed, and 1 names no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Ian argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported

China plans to launch over 13,000 government satellites, says Ian Cinnamon

“The CCP has announced plans to launch over 13,000 government satellites in the coming years.”

Ian Cinnamon May 1, 2025 ▶ 0:34 How to Enable a Manufacturing Renaissance

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted

Software, not hardware, is the leading cause of on-orbit satellite anomalies

“The leading cause of anomalies on orbit in space is software, not hardware.”

Ian Cinnamon May 1, 2025 ▶ 14:38 How to Enable a Manufacturing Renaissance

What they said6 Episodes1

Everything Ian Cinnamon said on the a16z Podcast that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Disclosure

Tariffs have overall been positive for Apex Space, says Ian Cinnamon

“I think the tariffs overall have been positive for us, frankly.”

Ian Cinnamon May 1, 2025 ▶ 20:20 How to Enable a Manufacturing Renaissance

Opinion

Los Angeles uniquely combines traditional aerospace, new space, and software talent

“And there's really only one place on the planet that has All three of those, and that is Los Angeles, right?”

Ian Cinnamon May 1, 2025 ▶ 4:00 How to Enable a Manufacturing Renaissance

Assertion Contradicted

Software, not hardware, is the leading cause of on-orbit satellite anomalies

“The leading cause of anomalies on orbit in space is software, not hardware.”

Ian Cinnamon May 1, 2025 ▶ 14:38 How to Enable a Manufacturing Renaissance

Assertion Supported

China plans to launch over 13,000 government satellites, says Ian Cinnamon

“The CCP has announced plans to launch over 13,000 government satellites in the coming years.”

Ian Cinnamon May 1, 2025 ▶ 0:34 How to Enable a Manufacturing Renaissance

Assertion Not checkable as stated

Apex waited 10 months for Los Angeles permits before four-week buildout

“We got our building, we filed for our permits, we waited nine months, no permits, 10 months in, we got our permits, and then it took four weeks to build up the building.”

Ian Cinnamon May 1, 2025 ▶ 6:51 How to Enable a Manufacturing Renaissance

Assertion Open · timeframe May 2025

US government launched barely over 200 satellites in 2024, says Ian Cinnamon

“The US government launched barely over 200 last year.”

Ian Cinnamon May 1, 2025 ▶ 0:40 How to Enable a Manufacturing Renaissance

Appearances (1)

Episode	Date	Speaking time
How to Enable a Manufacturing Renaissance	May 1, 2025	6m

Ian Cinnamon

The record, in short

Their most notable supported claim

Their most notable contradicted claim

Appearances (1)

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