Gregory Allen

Founder & CEO, Decision Tree Research · 1 appearance on the record.

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Gregory C. Allen specializes in the geopolitics of strategic technologies, focusing on artificial intelligence governance, semiconductor export controls, and U.S.–China technology competition. He previously served as the Director of Strategy and Policy at the Department of Defense's Joint AI Center and as the founding director of the Wadhwani AI Center at CSIS.

7statements → 6claims → 4claims resolved → 100%fully supported → 4.14/5average certainty → 2.43/5average debate potential →

4 supported 0 partly supported 0 contradicted 2 not checkable as stated how the 6 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

1 prediction · 5 assertions · 1 opinion · every statement was checked. The prediction and assertions are the 6 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 4 are resolved, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Gregory argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Over 95% of military drone data is never viewed
“Right now, for instance, on just drone platforms alone, more than 95% of the data that is collected is never viewed by anyone, ever.”
Gregory Allen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:54 a16z Podcast | Autonomy in Service

Everything Gregory Allen said on the a16z Podcast that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Opinion
U.S. spending on legacy weapons mirrors Kodak investing in film
“The most recent defense budget basically said, let's buy a ton more weapons, of weapons that have already been designed. And politically, that's incredibly popular, right, because those weapons are built in congressional districts all over America. It's very e…”
Gregory Allen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:52 a16z Podcast | Autonomy in Service
Assertion Not checkable as stated
No secret U.S. government lab possesses AI superior to commercial industry
“I am not breaking some, like, security clearance or classification rules to tell you this here, but there is no super secret government lab with, like, advanced AI way better than commercial industry. The government, the military, they are behind commercial in…”
Gregory Allen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 26:52 a16z Podcast | Autonomy in Service
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI's impact on national security will match the invention of aircraft
“No, this is a complete revolution. It will take decades to unfold, but it will be on the same scale as the invention of aircraft, right, for the early.”
Gregory Allen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:17 a16z Podcast | Autonomy in Service
Assertion Supported
Over 95% of military drone data is never viewed
“Right now, for instance, on just drone platforms alone, more than 95% of the data that is collected is never viewed by anyone, ever.”
Gregory Allen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:54 a16z Podcast | Autonomy in Service
Assertion Supported
China announced a $2.1 billion investment in a new AI center
“China's just announced that they were investing 2.1 billion dollars to open up a new AI research center that is all consistent with their strategy of military civil fusion.”
Gregory Allen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:50 a16z Podcast | Autonomy in Service
Assertion Supported
U.S. removes terrorism as top national security threat
“For the first time in a long time, the United States did not name terrorism as the top national security threat facing the nation.”
Gregory Allen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:38 a16z Podcast | Autonomy in Service
Assertion Supported
Thousands of U.S. military personnel analyze drone footage full-time
“Within the U.S. Military, there are literally thousands of people whose primary job is to watch drone footage and analyze it for information that is relevant to the conflict at hand or U.S. National security.”
Gregory Allen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:45 a16z Podcast | Autonomy in Service

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
a16z Podcast | Autonomy in Service Jan 2, 2019 9m
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