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Q had Incredible, um, growth. You, you were involved, of course, with OpenAI since, since the beginning. When we look for the next few years, um, he's brought a question as to whether scaling laws will hold, whether sort of the limitations, um, or how far we can get with, with LLMs. Um, do we need another breakthrough of a different kind? What is your view on some of these questions?
A So, one of the things we, you know, we all swim in this universe of extrapolating the future, one of the things that's great about Silicon Valley, and so you get such things as, you know, theories of singularity, theories of super intelligence, theory of exponential getting to super intelligence soon, and what I find is usually the mistake in that is not the fact that extrapolating the future, that's smart, and people need to do that, and far too people People do. I think I remember liking your post and helping promote it if I recall. Um, but it's the notion of, well, what curve is that? Like, if it's a savant curve, that's different than, oh my gosh, it's an apotheosis and now it's God, you know, you know, it's like, no, no, it'll be an even more amazing savant than we have. But by the way, if it's only savant, there's always room for us. There's always rooms for the generalist and the cross checker and the context awareness and all the rest of that. Now, maybe, maybe it'll cross over a threshold or not. Maybe it won't, you know, like, I think there's a bunch of different questions there, but that extrapolation too often goes, well, it's exponential. So in two and a half years, magic. And you're like, well, look, it is magic, but it's not all magic is the, is the kind of way he's doing it now. So my own personal belief Is that, um, look, so the critics of LLMs make a mistake i…
AI assessment note: “if it's a savant curve, that's different than, oh my gosh, it's an apotheosis”
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Q had Incredible, um, growth. You, you were involved, of course, with OpenAI since, since the beginning. When we look for the next few years, um, he's brought a question as to whether scaling laws will hold, whether sort of the limitations, um, or how far we can get with, with LLMs. Um, do we need another breakthrough of a different kind? What is your view on some of these questions?
A So, one of the things we, you know, we all swim in this universe of extrapolating the future, one of the things that's great about Silicon Valley, and so you get such things as, you know, theories of singularity, theories of super intelligence, theory of exponential getting to super intelligence soon, and what I find is usually the mistake in that is not the fact that extrapolating the future, that's smart, and people need to do that, and far too people People do. I think I remember liking your post and helping promote it if I recall. Um, but it's the notion of, well, what curve is that? Like, if it's a savant curve, that's different than, oh my gosh, it's an apotheosis and now it's God, you know, you know, it's like, no, no, it'll be an even more amazing savant than we have. But by the way, if it's only savant, there's always room for us. There's always rooms for the generalist and the cross checker and the context awareness and all the rest of that. Now, maybe, maybe it'll cross over a threshold or not. Maybe it won't, you know, like, I think there's a bunch of different questions there, but that extrapolation too often goes, well, it's exponential. So in two and a half years, magic. And you're like, well, look, it is magic, but it's not all magic is the, is the kind of way he's doing it now. So my own personal belief Is that, um, look, so the critics of LLMs make a mistake i…
AI assessment note: “one of the things we, you know, we all swim in this universe of extrapolating”
