The Exchanges

Every argument clarity score on this site is built from rows on this page. Each question and answer was assessed with names hidden, the host's own answers included, on four things from 1 to 5: directness (does it answer the question asked), coherence (do the ideas follow), precision (concrete details and clear references), compression (says a lot per word). The weighted mix (30/30/25/15) is the exchange score. A person's published score averages their exchange scores on raw tape only, at least 8 of them, shrunk toward the cohort mean. Full method →

Benedict Evans argument clarity score 3.9/5 from 31 exchanges on raw tape · average scores: directness 3.8 · coherence 4.1 · precision 3.8 · compression 3.5 record → ← everyone

Every exchange below was scored with names hidden, four dimensions each from 1 to 5. An exchange's score is 0.30·directness + 0.30·coherence + 0.25·precision + 0.15·compression. The published score averages the raw tape exchange scores and shrinks small samples toward the cohort mean, so five great answers can't beat twenty good ones. Produced feed rows count only toward coarse estimates, never toward a full score.

clear all ✕
31exchanges match
31on raw tape
7redirected or not addressed
Redirected raw tape D 2 · C 3 · P 2 · Cm 2 2.30

Q my last question to get you out of here is, um, If, if we're talking two or three years from now, or you know, you're doing a presentation and you say, oh, this is actually bigger than the internet, or, or maybe this is like, like computing. Um, what would need to be true? What, what would need to happen? What, what, what would, uh, what would evolve our thinking?

A I mean, I, I kind of, you know, sort of come back to my point about, you know, the Jews and Christians and Messiah came, nothing happened. Um, We forget. I mean, it's maybe two, two ways, very brief ways to think about this. One of them is I think we forget how enormous the iPhone was and how enormous the internet was. And you can still find people in tech who claim that smartphones aren't a big deal. And this was the basis of people complaining about me like this idiot. He thinks like generative AI is as big as those silly phone things. Come on. I think another answer would be like, I don't want to get into the argument about, you know, what is the grace rating capability and benchmarks and, and all, you know, you can see lots of five hour long podcasts of people talking about this stuff, but the stuff we have now is not a replacement for an actual person outside of some very narrow and very tightly constrained guardrails, which is why, you know, Demis' point that it's absurd to say that we have PhD level capabilities now. Um, What, we would have to be seeing something that would really shift our perception of the capability of this stuff.

AI assessment note: “we would have to be seeing something that would really shift our perception”

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