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Philip Tetlock

1 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Jan 2, 2019 by Steven B. Johnson · said 1 times in 1 episodes since 2019 · across every show →

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brought up most by Steven B. Johnson (1)

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Everything said about Philip Tetlock, oldest first

Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Johnson: Famous political experts predict the future worse than random chance
“All the experts are like worse than a dart throwing chimp at predicting the future. And the more famous you got, the worse you were at”
Steven B. Johnson Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:40 a16z Podcast | Seeing into the Future -- Making Decisions, Telling Stories
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