Noah Smith
22 statements across 3 episodes · 5 bullish · 9 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Jan 2, 2019 by Noah Smith · said 4 times in 2 episodes since 2025 · across every show →
On the record as a speaker too: Noah Smith's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.
Mentions by year
brought up most by Erik Torenberg (2), Dylan Patel (2)
tap a year for its mentions
2025 4 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
Everything said about Noah Smith, oldest first
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Smith: China Shock Displaced US Manufacturing Workers Into Low-Wage Service Jobs
“What Otter, Dorn, and Hansen found is that the adjustment of the average worker in competition with Chinese workers was much, much slower and worse, and they found that, you know, the average displaced manufacturing worker in the eighties and nineties who was …”
Jan 2, 2019
Jan 2, 2019
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Smith: Subsidies And Low Standards Drove China's Trade Competitiveness
“The reasons China was cheap, I mean, cheap wages were part of it, but they were subsidizing energy. They were giving everybody really cheap coal without worrying about the environmental impacts. They had very low labor standards, and they had a bank finance sy…”
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Smith: Entering Foreign Markets Increases Company Productivity
“So when a company... Enters a foreign market, it experiences a jump in productivity. Obviously, companies that were more productive to start with are going to be more competitive in foreign markets. There's pretty good evidence that exporting forces companies …”
Jan 2, 2019
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Jan 2, 2019
Smith: US Manufacturing Jobs Plunged After China Entered WTO In 2000
“Total manufacturing employment has shrunk since 2000 dramatically. So at the exact same time trying to enter the WTO, total manufacturing employment in the United States, which had been at a stable level for decades and decades, starts to plunge.”
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Smith: Consumer Gains From Foreign Trade And Automation Are Functionally Identical
“In fact, in economic models, the gains from trade will look just like productivity. And there's a complete equivalence between those and a lot of models. So basically, if you have a robot to do something cheaply, you know, from the consumer's perspective, that…”
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Smith: US Needs An Export Promotion Agency Like Japan's JETRO
“Japan does a lot of things wrong, but it also does some things right. And it has an export promotion agency called Jetro. If you're a small Japanese company, you don't know how to sell stuff to Bangladesh. Jetro will hook you up with local resources and will t…”
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Smith: TPP And TTIP Will Not Resemble The 2000s China Trade Shock
“People are talking about TPP and TTIP, which is basically a trade treaty with, you know, Japan and Korea, a trade treaty with Europe. Those are trade with rich countries, and that's not going to look at all like opening up trade with China did in the 2000. It …”
Jan 2, 2019
Aug 4, 2025 bearish
Noah Smith: AI companionship will cause human population to continually dwindle
“The human race does not have a desire, a collective desire to perpetuate itself. We can, you know, yes, we're going to get lonely, but we'll have company through AI and through the internet. Social media, you know, until there's just a few of us and we dwindle…”
Aug 4, 2025 negative
Noah Smith: Smartphone technology is driving global fertility far below replacement
“Phones have destroyed the human race. Like, the fertility crash that's happening all around the world. Nobody has replacement level fertility. Fertility is going far below replacement everywhere because of technology.”
Aug 4, 2025 negative
Noah Smith: Most of Leopold Aschenbrenner's AI predictions have been proven wrong
“I would say that already most of the things he predicted have been invalidated or made irrelevant in the last year and a half, like, and especially in terms, like all the comp stuff about competition with China you know, like it turns out filtration was able t…”
Aug 20, 2025 positive
Smith: Gross trade volume matters more than trade deficits
“People focus Obsessively on the trade deficits and surpluses, on the imbalances, on the net amount, but basically the more important effect is the gross, the total amount of exporting that we're able to do, you know, and so in that sense, trade between us and …”
Aug 20, 2025 negative
Aug 20, 2025 negative
Smith: US should have used tariffs against China's 2000s currency undervaluation
“For example, if you had used tariffs as a kind of bargaining tool to force China to stop undervaluing the Yuan, which it did to a significant degree in the 2000. That might've worked. In fact, I think we should have done that.”
Aug 20, 2025 negative
Smith: US factory construction boomed under Biden after decades of stagnation
“But when you look at factory construction, real, real factory construction, you saw this enormous, you saw it basically flat at a flat level for decades and decades at a fairly low level. Then you saw this enormous boom during the Biden years and all the facto…”
Aug 20, 2025 negative