Frank Chen

59 statements across 19 episodes · 37 bullish · 3 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Jul 15, 2017 by Frank Chen · said 8 times in 6 episodes since 2019 · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Frank Chen's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Mentions by year

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2026 2 mentions in 2 episodes 1 per episode
2019 6 mentions in 4 episodes 2 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Frank Chen, oldest first

Jul 15, 2017
Assertion Supported
Chen: Simulating 1,000 electrons requires more states than universe's atoms
“So even with this very relatively simple example, we would need a computer that could represent more states, two to the 1000, then there are atoms in the known universe.”
Frank Chen Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 7:25 Quantum Computing: A Primer
Jul 15, 2017 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: Quantum computing's goal is not making smaller computers
“Now, if you listen to the prime minister, he implied that what we were trying to do with quantum computers was make smaller computers. And while he didn't say anything technically inaccurate, I think that misses the point a little. So we're not really trying t…”
Frank Chen Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 2:30 Quantum Computing: A Primer
Jul 16, 2017 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Autonomous Vehicle Insurance Will Price Algorithm Safety, Not Demographics
“In a self-driving world, eventually there will be no drivers, and so, like, your demographics are irrelevant. So your premium prices might become solely a function of how effective the autonomous algorithms are.”
Frank Chen Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 22:30 16 Questions About Self Driving Cars
Jul 16, 2017 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Autonomous Fleets Will Reduce Accidents but Raise Individual Repair Costs
“We're pretty confident that when we get to a fully autonomous fleet, we'll have fewer accidents, but maybe the cost of repair will go up because yeah, we got to repair that supercomputer in your trunk that figured out how to drive on the road.”
Frank Chen Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 23:25 16 Questions About Self Driving Cars
Jul 16, 2017 bullish
Disclosure
Chen has met roughly six startups building real-time AI music generation
“I've already seen maybe half a dozen startups that are working on this very problem that will be able to generate music on the fly”
Frank Chen Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 21:02 The Promise of AI
Jul 16, 2017 positive
Assertion Supported
Frank Chen: AI image classifiers are now more accurate than humans
“In fact, the most accurate image classifiers, as these are called, are basically better than humans at classifying the objects in a picture.”
Frank Chen Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 6:27 The Promise of AI
Jul 16, 2017 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: Vision AI will shift farming to plant-by-plant fertilization
“And so when AI makes it cheap for us to see and understand what's going on in the world, we won't fertilize fields anymore. We will fertilize individual heads of lettuce.”
Frank Chen Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 10:40 The Promise of AI
Jul 16, 2017 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: Tens of thousands of niche vision AI apps will emerge
“So I love this very inexpensive, super creative use of AI, and I think we're going to see 1010 of thousands of applications like this over the next decades.”
Frank Chen Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 10:08 The Promise of AI
Dec 8, 2017 positive
Insight
Frank Chen: Automation won't cause joblessness due to infinite human wants
“I think so long as we have the capacity to want new things, we will always be creating jobs to satisfy those demands.”
Frank Chen Dec 8, 2017 ▶ 25:08 AI: What's Working, What's Not
Dec 8, 2017 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen predicts hundreds of billion-dollar AI augmentation startups will emerge
“And I'm convinced over the next 2030 years, dozens if not hundreds of billion dollar companies will get created building Jiminy Cricket.”
Frank Chen Dec 8, 2017 ▶ 23:15 AI: What's Working, What's Not
Feb 3, 2018 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Autonomous fleets will re-enfranchise demographics left out of driving
“This revolution will come on the backs of the young people who are absolutely ready culturally to make this transition. And it's going to re-enfranchise. It's going to bring a lot of people who have been left out of the benefits of driving around right back in…”
Frank Chen Feb 3, 2018 ▶ 13:25 The Autonomy Ecosystem: Where and How It Begins (1 of 8)
Feb 3, 2018 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chen: Autonomous EV fleets will drive most global miles within years
“In particular, I believe that in a handful of years, we're gonna be driven around in electric cars rather than driving around in our own gas-powered cars. In other words, most of the miles driven on the planet will shift to self-driving electric car fleets as …”
Frank Chen Feb 3, 2018 ▶ 1:25 The Autonomy Ecosystem: Where and How It Begins (1 of 8)
Feb 3, 2018 neutral
Assertion Supported
Chen: Personally owned cars are utilized only 5% of the day
“Our own cars are utilized maybe five percent of the day today.”
Frank Chen Feb 3, 2018 ▶ 10:44 The Autonomy Ecosystem: Where and How It Begins (1 of 8)
Feb 3, 2018 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Economics will force most autonomous electric vehicles into commercial fleets
“The economics will dictate that most of our electric self-driving cars will end up in fleets, because it's going to be much more economically efficient for the fleet To get the most out of that car compared to you and me driving them around.”
Frank Chen Feb 3, 2018 ▶ 11:01 The Autonomy Ecosystem: Where and How It Begins (1 of 8)
Feb 3, 2018 positive
Assertion Supported
Chen: 40 global cities were running autonomous vehicle pilots in 2018
“All together, there are 40 cities around the world actively piloting a day. There's another 20 waiting to start their electric car trials.”
Frank Chen Feb 3, 2018 ▶ 9:44 The Autonomy Ecosystem: Where and How It Begins (1 of 8)
Feb 3, 2018
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Autonomous car brands will matter as little as airplane manufacturers
“The make and model of the car will become the least important, and in fact, you don't care about the decision in the same way that most of us don't care about whether we're riding in Boeing or Airbus or Embraer airplane.”
Frank Chen Feb 3, 2018 ▶ 1:39 The Autonomy Ecosystem: The Value Chain (3 of 8)
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Opinion
Chen: Apple's single wallet model will outperform fragmented Android payments
“And if you contrast what's happening in Apple land with what's happening in Android land, if you've tried NFC payments in Android land, you have lots of stakeholders with their own applications clamoring to be your wallet. So you have ISIS now known as soft ca…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:19 a16z Podcast | Apple Takes on Payments and Your Wrist
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Chen: US EMV migration will drive merchant NFC terminal adoption
“The good news on the NFC readers is that the United States is about to go through a massive deployment of EMV, which is chip and pin credit cards. The same reader will also support NFC, so merchants won't need two different or two different upgrades, so it loo…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:52 a16z Podcast | Apple Takes on Payments and Your Wrist
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: Most future video content will be crowdsourced
“What we're moving towards is a world in which most of the video content will get crowdsourced, right?”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:39 a16z Podcast | Verizon Plus AOL -- Why? -- The Short Answer is Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Frank Chen: Carriers know your home zip code from phone sleep locations
“Controlling the smartphones, you know exactly who your users are, where they go to sleep, which means that wherever your cell phone went to sleep is probably where you live. So they know the zip code of where you live. So they do know a lot of things about you…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:58 a16z Podcast | Verizon Plus AOL -- Why? -- The Short Answer is Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Cyber risk standards will be set by commercial markets, not government
“I think it won't be government necessarily. I think it will be commercial standards, right? That sort of puts you into a risk category, right?”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:18 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Legacy insurance data will lose value against real-time IoT streams
“The way to think about it is the data that insurance companies had will become less and less important over time as these new data streams get unlocked.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:07 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: Startups will pioneer continuous customer engagement in insurance
“It's gonna need startups to show the way of what insurance companies ought to do in their ongoing customer journey, as opposed to the existing companies doing it.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:56 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: 1990s expert systems failed due to insufficient hardware compute
“Keep in mind what computational power was back then. We didn't have a lot of memory. We didn't have a lot of disk. We didn't have a lot of CPU cycles. And so the rate at which we could do these calculations and the amount of storage we had, like, it just never…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:58 a16z Podcast | The Dream of AI Is Alive in Go
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Supported
Chen: Deep learning enables robots to cook from YouTube videos
“There are systems where robots are learning to cook food by watching YouTube videos of people cooking food. There's systems that can take photos and paint them in the style of Renoir or Van Gogh. There's algorithms that can create paintings that are indistingu…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:35 a16z Podcast | The Dream of AI Is Alive in Go
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Chen: Deep learning represents the triumph of data over algorithms
“So the big trend is the triumph of data over algorithms. Which is you try to make more and more sophisticated edge detection algorithms, feature recognition algorithms. The big advance with deep learning was, screw all that. I'm not going to try to figure out …”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:25 a16z Podcast | The Dream of AI Is Alive in Go
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: The next major AI breakthrough will combine multiple techniques
“Yeah, and I think this is where we're going to see the next big breakthrough. It won't be one technique in isolation, just like the go, Algorithms, one, on a combination of techniques.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:42 a16z Podcast | The Dream of AI Is Alive in Go
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Supported
Chen: Neural networks are trivially fooled by subtle noise in images
“So one really interesting thing is if you feed Pictures into a neural net and you tune in. You can defeat the categorization fairly trivially by introducing noise in the data, and the really interesting thing is you introduce the noise, you look at the resulti…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:11 a16z Podcast | The Dream of AI Is Alive in Go
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Chen: Technical PM interviews should test depth across the technology stack
“And so what you're looking for, if you're trying to find a technical one is how deep down the stack can you go in answering that question?”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:23 a16z Podcast | It's Complicated
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Chen: Deep learning replaces deterministic logic with probabilistic reasoning
“Programming has been functional and procedural, which is I have if loops and else loops, and I tell it, and what I'm trying to do is predict enough state so that the computer can make the right decision. If this, do that. Else do this, right? With the introduc…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:20 a16z Podcast | It's Complicated
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: Autonomous vehicles will be managed in centralized fleets outside cities
“So think of all the infrastructure that supports these cars, because we're going to have centralized fleets to get the cars fixed and maintained, not my problem. So all of this space is going to free up.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:32 a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: Autonomous vehicle developers are divided on geographic localization strategies
“And so both research approaches are active. I've talked to people pursuing the look, it's going to be localized in the safe braking distance and how aggressively to take that right turn when you're at a stoplight. All of those things will be pre-programmed for…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:42 a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Chen: Incumbent automakers project initial autonomous vehicle rollouts between 2019 and 2024
“Well, if you look at the public estimates given by the auto manufacturers, I'm talking about the incumbents now, you'll see a range anywhere from 2019 to 2024 being the year where they first introduced their autonomous vehicles.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:14 a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: Autonomous ride service costs will approach private car ownership
“At some point when the autonomy comes into the equation, then it might get close to the Price at which you sort of own and operate and drive your own car.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:39 a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: Future generations will never experience parking anxiety
“And how far will I have to walk? That will just disappear. There'll be generations of people who will never know that anxiety.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:05 a16z Podcast | Cars and Cities, the Autonomy Edition
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: A Cisco-class company will emerge to route autonomous physical transportation
“I actually think, here's another interesting thing, which is if there were self-driving cars, trucks, robots, shopping carts, there will probably be a Cisco routing service on top of that that can calculate the best way to get object A from point A to B, which…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 31:13 a16z Podcast | What Technology Wants, Needs, Does
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Chen: AI is automation on steroids, not sentience
“What you're expecting is sentience, and what we actually have is just Automation on steroids, which is we can now automate things that we couldn't automate before because we don't have to painstakingly describe the rules behind it. We're just letting the compu…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:56 a16z Podcast | What Technology Wants, Needs, Does
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: Deep learning models are inherently unexplainable black boxes
“The modern, more powerful, more accurate algorithms that belong to a class of algorithms called deep learning algorithms, they don't have that feature. They are notorious black boxes. You cannot ask it, why did you make this decision? All it is is basically a …”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:00 a16z Podcast | What Technology Wants, Needs, Does
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: The next generation will never drive cars
“I definitely believe they're not going to be driving. They'll be picked up and you know, whether it's, the big question will be two D or three D, right, getting you from .1.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 31:06 a16z Podcast | What Technology Wants, Needs, Does
Jan 2, 2019
Prediction Partly held up
Frank Chen: Self-driving safety will be judged by accidents per million miles
“And at the end of the day, what we're gonna judge cars on is Accidents per million miles driven, right? Just like you drudge humans.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 30:14 a16z Podcast | What Technology Wants, Needs, Does
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: AI could create a new genre of music within ten years
“What I'm looking forward to is could an AI create a brand new genre of music that people find desirable, which is, it doesn't sound like anything Today, but it's just this breakthrough new genre. And so, in 10 years, I think we have a shot at doing that.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:31 a16z Podcast | What Technology Wants, Needs, Does
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: Autonomous driving algorithms calculate safe paths, not ethical tradeoffs
“If you look at the current crop of machine learning algorithms that drive autonomy, they're not making high level decisions like, let's calculate the life expectancy of the people that I'm about to wipe out. They're not doing that. They're looking at, there's …”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:10 a16z Podcast | What Technology Wants, Needs, Does
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Patients will soon be horrified if doctors lack AI companions
“I think it's only a matter of time before we walk into a doctor's office or a lawyer's office where that isn't the fundamental interaction, and we'll just be horrified, like, where's your AI companion? Why are you trying to do this Yourself with your biases.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:06 a16z Podcast | Companies, Networks, Crowds
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Insight
Chen: AlphaGo Zero proves reinforcement learning succeeds without labeled data
“Right, where there's so much momentum right now that says, basically, we're one labeled data set away from glory. Right, and this result basically shows you, wow, there's a lot of mileage that you can get out of reinforcement learning where there's no data, no…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 34:50 a16z Podcast | Revenge of the Algorithms (Over Data)... Go! No?
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: AI startups spend $1M to $50M acquiring annotated training data
“And if you think about sort of the approach that most startups take to artificial intelligence today, they basically take the supervised learning approach. And step one, raise money so that you can go get a data set that's annotated, train your neural network,…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:42 a16z Podcast | Revenge of the Algorithms (Over Data)... Go! No?
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Disclosure
Frank Chen: Half a dozen startups are working on remote driving technology
“I have seen now probably half a dozen startups that are working on basically remote driving, whether it's remote driving a car or remote driving a truck, on the assumption that the algorithms won't be able to figure out what to do in all cases.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:05 a16z Podcast | Self-Driving Cars — Where Are We, Really?
Feb 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: Lifetime education spending drops to near zero after college
“The way I think about education spending over a lifetime today is kind of like there's an elephant inside a python, right, which is you spend a lot of money and then you get to College, right, where you have the five 29 plan, right, to help subsidize, right, t…”
Frank Chen Feb 2, 2019 ▶ 26:01 What's Next for Education Startups in 2019 (Part II)
Jun 14, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: VCs expect half of portfolio companies to fail
“Realizing that like half your portfolio is going to go belly up anyway.”
Frank Chen Jun 14, 2019 ▶ 11:18 How to Get the Most from Your Board
Dec 30, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Software will automate global A/B testing within hours by the 2030s
“But in the 20 thirties, all of this software automates this process. So we can literally run the process the same afternoon.”
Frank Chen Dec 30, 2019 ▶ 9:27 Imagining Our Future Through Tech
Dec 30, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: Inverted supply chains will allow influencers to launch custom apparel brands
“We've seen a flipped supply chain that allows people with big fan bases to actually make their own lifestyle brands, make clothes for them.”
Frank Chen Dec 30, 2019 ▶ 17:38 Imagining Our Future Through Tech
Dec 30, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Kitchen and delivery robots will automate personalized meal services
“Once they've built the meals, they'll deliver them to her autonomously via delivery robot, and we're going to use kitchen robots inside the kitchens to keep the cost of all this personalization down.”
Frank Chen Dec 30, 2019 ▶ 3:11 Imagining Our Future Through Tech
Dec 30, 2019 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2024
Chen: AR contact lenses with built-in projectors will display real-world overlays
“So we'll have tiny projectors and cameras built into contact lenses so she can just pop into her eyes and they'll work in conjunction with nearby computers to basically give her a heads up display on the real world. As people come into her field of view, she'l…”
Frank Chen Dec 30, 2019 ▶ 4:10 Imagining Our Future Through Tech
Dec 30, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Chen: Drone racing in malls and glowing pets will emerge by 2030
“And we've seen a set of new experiences, going to a mall to watch drone racing or having a glow in the dark pet.”
Frank Chen Dec 30, 2019 ▶ 18:03 Imagining Our Future Through Tech
Dec 30, 2019 bullish
Prediction Held up
Chen: Custom apparel design research will be automated within hours by 2030s
“In the 20 thirties, this is going to be automated with software in a matter of hours.”
Frank Chen Dec 30, 2019 ▶ 6:36 Imagining Our Future Through Tech
Dec 30, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Future dietary protein will be supplied by bioreactor-grown cultured meats
“Now, one intriguing place where she could get protein, because she needs protein, she's training for the marathon, is with something called cultured meats, meats that we're going to grow in a bioreactor.”
Frank Chen Dec 30, 2019 ▶ 3:23 Imagining Our Future Through Tech
Dec 30, 2019 positive
Opinion
Chen: Consumers will accept weird-looking robotics to maintain independent living
“And look, I know this thing looks really weird, but if it was my choice between weird looking and being able to live independently for a few years longer, I know which choice I'd make.”
Frank Chen Dec 30, 2019 ▶ 16:06 Imagining Our Future Through Tech
Dec 30, 2019 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2030
Chen: Bioengineered smart clothing will track health and guide runners by 2030
“This shirt is made out of spider silk, engineered by DNA. It's got sensors and actuators right in it, so the sensors pick up her health stats like temperature and EKG and heart rate, and it's got actuators so it can bumper on the wrists, right?”
Frank Chen Dec 30, 2019 ▶ 1:53 Imagining Our Future Through Tech
Dec 30, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Chen: Robotic furniture requires no tech breakthroughs and exists today
“Actually, no technology breakthrough needed at all. You can actually go buy this today if you wanted, so we know how to make robotic furniture.”
Frank Chen Dec 30, 2019 ▶ 22:58 Imagining Our Future Through Tech
Dec 30, 2019 positive
Prediction Held up
Chen: Smart toilets in the 2030s will monitor health via urine analysis
“Now, it doesn't look like it's changed much, but like most other things in her house, this has become a smart toilet. It measures 10 properties of her urine, including glucose, and it looks for health problems before they become actual health problems.”
Frank Chen Dec 30, 2019 ▶ 1:25 Imagining Our Future Through Tech
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