The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Stephens: There Will Likely Not Even Be Two Companies Like SpaceX
“There's not gonna be a hundred space X's. There's probably not going to be two space X's”
Trae Stephens Apr 3, 2024 ▶ 46:46 Trae Stephens: Why No Company is Successful Because of their VC | E1135 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Stephens: Founders Fund Was the First VC to Promote Being Founder-Friendly
“We were the first fund that was talking about being founder friendly”
Trae Stephens Apr 3, 2024 ▶ 28:59 Trae Stephens: Why No Company is Successful Because of their VC | E1135 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Stephens: Authorities for Government Startup Procurement Already Exist
“All of the authorities that need to exist to buy products from non-traditional companies, they all exist.”
Trae Stephens Apr 3, 2024 ▶ 54:07 Trae Stephens: Why No Company is Successful Because of their VC | E1135 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Stephens: Flexport Was First Major Founders Fund Check in 2014
“The first big check that I wrote at Founders Fund was Flexport. And no one was thinking about Supply chain logistics in 2014.”
Trae Stephens Apr 3, 2024 ▶ 14:48 Trae Stephens: Why No Company is Successful Because of their VC | E1135 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Stephens: US Government, Not Defense Startups, Decides Foreign Military Buyers
“This is probably like, not to put a, you know, a target on your back, Harry, but this is the most naive question that non-defense people ask, because the reality is that we don't decide. The US government decides.”
Trae Stephens Apr 3, 2024 ▶ 1:02:29 Trae Stephens: Why No Company is Successful Because of their VC | E1135 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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