why aren't all 30 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
TJ Parker: Amazon's 'earned trust' culture assumes the worst of people
“In hindsight, that is, like, literally the opposite culture, right? It's like, It's kind of assumed the worst until you're proven otherwise.”
What-if
TJ Parker: A decade in corporate pharmacy would have prevented founding PillPack
“If I had been working in pharmacy for a decade as an adult, there's no way I would have started a pill pack, because there were very specific reasons it shouldn't have worked, and I think that's where the naivety is really powerful.”
Insight
TJ Parker: Healthcare is broken because companies don't build for end consumers
“The reason that most of healthcare is as fucked up as it is, is that almost no one is actually building for the customer that's, that is using the service”
Disclosure
TJ Parker: PillPack received termination notices from all major PBMs in 2015
“And through 2015 we got termination notices from all of the major PBMs, right, very obviously.”
Disclosure
Parker: PillPack Sold to Amazon After Demanding a $1B Price Floor
“By the time I got to doing the deal with Amazon, like ultimately it was a phone call that was like, if you hit a billion, we're done. And they hit a billion and we were done”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
TJ Parker: Consumers will eventually shop for healthcare like any other product
“I think that Customers are ultimately going to shop healthcare like they shop everything else, and that until, until that happens, like, healthcare is going to remain as fucked up as it is right now.”
Insight
TJ Parker: Academic overachievers struggle to transition into startups
“I sort of have come to terms with the fact that I think it's very hard for like the classic overachiever that sat in the front row every, you know, in every class and always delivered papers on time and always got A's in every, every one of their classes. To g…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
PillPack maintained a five-person executive meeting while generating hundreds of millions
“By the time we sold the company, you know, we've got a thousand people, we're doing a few hundred million in top line, the entirety of that meeting was me Yvonne, who was COO, CFO, legal HR, kind of all those functions, Elliot, who was product and tech, Jeff, …”
Insight
Parker: Startups are solely about product and growth; meeting attendance dictates focus
“A startup is about product and growth. Like, that is the only thing that matters, and who on that team shows up, I think, determines what you're focused on as an entire organization.”
Insight
TJ Parker: Adopting a GM org structure immediately turns a startup into a big company
“Maybe somewhat controversially, I think the second you go to a GM-focused org, you're not a startup anymore, like you are a big company. And almost all of the downsides of a big company that people bemoan the amount of HR, the amount of overhead and decision m…”
Insight
TJ Parker: Equity compensation is a startup founder's biggest cultural lever
“Incentivizing your team as much as possible on equity ends up being, like, the biggest lever you have from a cultural standpoint.”
Assertion Partly supported
TJ Parker: PillPack raised $9M at $30M post with no structure
“I think the practical answer to your question is we raised like a nine on 30 post or something. With no structure.”
Assertion Supported
PillPack came within 48 hours of losing $100M in revenue
“And so, we were 48 hours from going from, like, I don't know what it was, a hundred million in revenue to zero. Like, zero.”
Opinion
TJ Parker: Amazon is the only big tech company providing real healthcare
“The thing we built and the work we did at Amazon, it's not, it's the only Big tech company that's actually providing healthcare and doing real things in healthcare”
Insight
TJ Parker: You cannot be happy and successful at both startups and big tech
“The likelihood that you're both really successful and really happy in a huge company, and then also really successful and really happy in a startup is unlikely.”
Assertion Contradicted
TJ Parker: No e-commerce pharmacy players existed before PillPack
“There's all these big winners, and pharmacy, there's basically, there was no e-commerce player before PillPack. Like, that didn't exist, right?”
Insight
TJ Parker: Founders need technical or specific domain expertise over business degrees
“I actually started school as a business major and pretty quickly realized that it was, I thought it was important to have a technical background, like some specific expertise, and so switched to pharmacy”
Insight
TJ Parker: Understanding customer problems matters more than industry nuances
“I think it's really important to understand the customer problem. I think it's less important in understanding, like, all of the nuance of the industry and dynamics and other things that are going on. But I do think if you don't deeply understand the customer …”
Disclosure
TJ Parker: PillPack raised capital exclusively from consumer tech investors
“We took money from exclusively consumer tech investors and We weren't out pitching healthcare investors.”
Insight
TJ Parker: Assuming the best in people eliminates 90% of conflict
“Almost all your best relationships in life are about assuming the best in someone, not assuming the worst, right? And so, if you start from that frame, like, you'll get rid of 90% of conflict by assuming that people are trying to figure it out and everyone's d…”
Insight
TJ Parker: Scrappy early operational leaders inevitably break at scale
“That's, like, the perfect archetype of, like, an early operational leader is, like, they deeply know the domain. They're happy places, not, like, going and building unnecessary process. They're happy places, like, let's just go figure this thing out. But at so…”
Insight
TJ Parker: Big-company employees rationally prioritize promotions over company success
“You get to be a big enough company, even if it's technically equity, and it's stock it is rational to care far more about, like, your own career pathing, and the next promotion, and all of those things than it is to care about winning or losing”
Disclosure
TJ Parker: PillPack grew from $10M to $70M run rate in 2015
“We get to the middle of 2015, we went from, I don't know, ten million dollar run rate to, like, a seventy million dollar run rate in, like, six months, nine months, like that”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Parker: Digital health startup Ro launched on PillPack's infrastructure
“Actually, Ro launched on our infrastructure.”
Assertion Supported
Parker: PillPack achieved ~$200M revenue run rate prior to Amazon acquisition
“One, like, we were now, like, a version of scale, right? Like, a couple hundred million in run rate or something like that.”
Assertion Partly supported
TJ Parker: Public pharmacy stocks fell 15% upon Amazon-PillPack acquisition announcement
“All of the companies that traded in pharmacy in the public markets dropped by, like, 15% in, like, three minutes.”
Assertion Supported
PillPack's core product model originated from TJ Parker's father's B2B pharmacy
“My dad had started this totally new pharmacy that was sorting and packaging meds actually very similar to PillPack. But they were selling into nursing homes and assisted living facilities. It wasn't a consumer business.”
Disclosure
TJ Parker: Major PillPack decisions were made on six months of walks
“The bigger decisions that we made over the course of the business were a byproduct of going on two-hour walks three times a week for six months.”
Disclosure
TJ Parker: PillPack waited a year too long to hire executive operators
“We probably waited Nine months to a year longer than we should have to bring in a real operator.”
Assertion Partly supported
PillPack's physical design remains unchanged nearly a decade after launch
“The physical product today, which is now almost a decade later, is exactly the same as it was when we designed it the first time around.”