why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Scale Passed on $100M Valuation For Startup With Sub-$1M Revenue
“We passed on a deal last week, very early stage company, they sell to businesses, they have less than a million dollars in revenue. They're going to raise a new series of investment at about a hundred million pre.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wienbar: Major VC return peaks are 100% correlated with platform shifts
“Yeah, so I think the whole you know, when you think about what has caused, you know, the bubbles, the big peaks in venture capital returns are a hundred percent correlated with shifts in platform technology.”
Assertion Supported
Wienbar: Scale Has Most Female Partners Among $200M+ US VC Funds
“Scale Venture Partners has three female partners, which is, I am sorry to say, the most in the U.S. Of any firm that has more than two hundred million dollars under management.”
Assertion Partly supported
Wienbar: Only 4.6% of Venture Capital General Partners Are Female
“Actually only 4.6% of general partners are female.”
Assertion Supported
Wienbar: Female CS Graduates Dropped From Over 30% to 18.8%
“In the mid-eighties, at the beginning of the computer science discipline more than 30% of the people who graduated with a computer science degree were female, and the current run rate is about 18.8%.”
Assertion Supported
Wienbar: Early-stage valuations are lower for startups outside Silicon Valley
“So in the earlier days of a startup outside of the valley, probably prices are a little bit lower for them, right? Because there's just, there aren't as many VCs in your local market, and there aren't as many VCs who are willing to fly to your local market.”
Assertion Supported
Wienbar: Startup valuations equalize across regions as companies scale
“But as the companies scale, the companies get valued on their potential market size and on their, you know, current traction and success. So I think it all become, you know, it all kind of becomes equalized as the company scales, but the, those early seed roun…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Scale Venture Partners Portfolio Averages 182% Growth Year After Investment
“The companies that we're investing in for the past couple of years have on average achieved a 182% growth in the year after we've invested.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Scale Venture Partners Requires a Board Seat in Every Portfolio Deal
“And in fact, that's part of our strategy is that we always have a board seat with our companies. We're very flexible on price terms, amount of dollars invested, but we always have a board seat.”
Insight
Wienbar: Founders Should Use Customized LinkedIn Messages for Cold VC Outreach
“I think the more thoughtful place to do a sort of a cold outreach is on LinkedIn. But please don't link it, you know, ask to link to me just with the canned, you know, I'd like to connect with you, but I think a lot of deal flow both on Twitter and LinkedIn wh…”
Insight
Wienbar: Existing Portfolio Support Always Trumps Evaluating New Deals
“So the, you know, money, the rule we have in here is money in the ground trumps new deal. So if you have a portfolio company issue, you know, you owe it to them. It's your fiduciary responsibility as a board member and to your existing investors that you've go…”
Assertion Supported
Wienbar Was Officer at $4B Bubble Company With $800K Revenue
“I was officer of a public company in Bubble with a four billion dollar market cap in 800,000 dollars in trailing revenue.”
Disclosure
Scale Venture Partners Nurtures LPs for Two to Three Fund Cycles
“So, you know, we typically know our LPs for two or three cycles before they decide to invest in us. And that's not uncommon for us and our portfolio companies.”
Disclosure
Wienbar: Scale Venture Partners Strictly Funds US-Focused Companies
“So our investment strategy is purely U.S. Focused. We don't invest, you know, in local market Companies for local markets.”