The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
WhatsApp managed 1.5 billion users with just one product manager
“When I joined WhatsApp, it had a billion and a half users, and it really only had about one product manager, about two to three data people working on it.”
Ryan Wiggins May 19, 2023 ▶ 4:35 Ryan Wiggins: Scaling WhatsApp from 0-100M; How to Build a Growth Team; Mercury Neobank | E1016 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
WhatsApp user growth in the US has sometimes been flat or negative
“The United States has been a country where WhatsApp has some adoption but has it quite reached a scale of you know, total growth and it's sometimes been flat and sometimes even negative over that course of time.”
Ryan Wiggins May 19, 2023 ▶ 6:51 Ryan Wiggins: Scaling WhatsApp from 0-100M; How to Build a Growth Team; Mercury Neobank | E1016 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
US first growth hires command $150k to $250k cash plus equity
“In the United States, which again is maybe not an assumption that I should have, but in the United States, I think it's a reasonable assumption that a 150 to two 50 cash and then some sizable equity packages is the range that you're looking for.”
Ryan Wiggins May 19, 2023 ▶ 35:23 Ryan Wiggins: Scaling WhatsApp from 0-100M; How to Build a Growth Team; Mercury Neobank | E1016 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Mercury scaled to serve over 100,000 startup customers by May 2023
“And since then, about two years in we've scaled to over a 100,000 startups”
Ryan Wiggins May 19, 2023 ▶ 1:44 Ryan Wiggins: Scaling WhatsApp from 0-100M; How to Build a Growth Team; Mercury Neobank | E1016 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
WhatsApp experienced zero downtime during Ryan Wiggins' four-year tenure
“In the four years I worked on WhatsApp, it never went down.”
Ryan Wiggins May 19, 2023 ▶ 5:21 Ryan Wiggins: Scaling WhatsApp from 0-100M; How to Build a Growth Team; Mercury Neobank | E1016 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
High 10-cent SMS costs in India accelerated early WhatsApp adoption
“In a market like India, where SMS is 10 cents. So like, you know, you're actually competing against 10 cents versus the marginal cost of incremental data.”
Ryan Wiggins May 19, 2023 ▶ 7:41 Ryan Wiggins: Scaling WhatsApp from 0-100M; How to Build a Growth Team; Mercury Neobank | E1016 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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