The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Libin: Big Tech's Data Advantage Will Be a Big Nothing in Five Years
“So I think over the next, like, five years, this, like, alleged entrenched data advantage of big companies will turn out to be, you know, a big nothing.”
Phil Libin Oct 26, 2018 ▶ 13:59 20VC: Phil Libin on Why The Concept of A Silicon Valley Style Startup Is Made To Benefit VCs, Why The Very Structure of Companies Is Outdated and Inefficient & What It Means To Build The Netflix of Product
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Libin: Video integration will transform everything within two years
“Integrating video into everything in this hybrid model is going to literally affect almost a hundred percent of all things in life. It's going to be a bigger transformation as the dot-com transformation was, except it's not going to take 10 years. It's going t…”
Phil Libin Jan 25, 2021 ▶ 26:51 20VC: Evernote & mmhmm Founder Phil Libin on Why We are Beginning a Multi-Trillion Dollar Restructuring of the World, Why Shortcuts are the Biggest Mistakes Startups Make & The Future of Video and The Unbundling of Zoom
Prediction Not checkable as stated
80% of Work Software and 50% of Consumer Software Will Become Conversational
“So my guess is about 50% of what we use as consumers will become conversational, botified, and about 80% of what we do at work.”
Phil Libin Jan 4, 2017 ▶ 12:02 20VC: Evernote's Phil Libin on The Pros and Cons Of Moving To VC, The Future For Bots & Having Marc Benioff & Reid Hoffman As Mentors
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bots Will Disrupt Software by Joining Multi-Human Conversations
“I think it's a major point of disruption. I think that the single biggest change is going to be for the past few decades almost all of our interactions with technology have been one person interacting with some system. So it's been like you using Microsoft Wor…”
Phil Libin Jan 4, 2017 ▶ 14:45 20VC: Evernote's Phil Libin on The Pros and Cons Of Moving To VC, The Future For Bots & Having Marc Benioff & Reid Hoffman As Mentors
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Libin: Within a year, native video startups will redefine meetings
“And obviously, within a year, like, this isn't what video is going to be like. Obviously, It's going to be the next generation of like native to video companies that comes along and says, well, no, we're not trying to recreate the old reality. We're not trying…”
Phil Libin Jan 25, 2021 ▶ 29:58 20VC: Evernote & mmhmm Founder Phil Libin on Why We are Beginning a Multi-Trillion Dollar Restructuring of the World, Why Shortcuts are the Biggest Mistakes Startups Make & The Future of Video and The Unbundling of Zoom
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Libin: All Turtles will expand to eight global cities within five years
“So the vision is, you know, in five years, we'll be in eight different cities. We're in three. Now we're opening up the fourth one next year. We'll be in eight cities, eight world cities, each one working on a number of very practical products that solve real …”
Phil Libin Oct 26, 2018 ▶ 19:38 20VC: Phil Libin on Why The Concept of A Silicon Valley Style Startup Is Made To Benefit VCs, Why The Very Structure of Companies Is Outdated and Inefficient & What It Means To Build The Netflix of Product
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Only a Couple Hundred Famous Bots Will Dominate Globally
“There's going to be a couple of hundred famous bots in the world, and everyone's going to know them, and everyone's going to be able to interact with them, and they're not going to be, it's not going to matter what directories are listed in. They're just going…”
Phil Libin Jan 4, 2017 ▶ 10:11 20VC: Evernote's Phil Libin on The Pros and Cons Of Moving To VC, The Future For Bots & Having Marc Benioff & Reid Hoffman As Mentors
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Phil Libin Maintains a Strict Personal Rule Never to Work on Airplanes
“A really quick one is I don't work on airplanes. I made this arbitrary rule where I will not work on an airplane.”
Phil Libin Jan 4, 2017 ▶ 17:24 20VC: Evernote's Phil Libin on The Pros and Cons Of Moving To VC, The Future For Bots & Having Marc Benioff & Reid Hoffman As Mentors
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