why aren't all 51 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Laqua: Employees taking weekends off have no place at Corgi
“If your days off happen to be Saturday and Sunday every week, then you will not have a place at Corgi.”
Opinion
Laqua: New York is a terrible startup hub, founders move there only to date
“That's why I think New York is not a good place to have a company at all. The people that, that move their companies to New York do so because they want to date. And they're, you know, that's the only reason, really real reason why they do.”
Insight
Laqua: Demanding seven-day workweeks filters for the right hires
“And if you want to win, then actually it's something that I think attracts the right type of person and absolutely repels the wrong type of person.”
Opinion
Laqua: Google represents the worst of corporate employee pampering culture
“You know, I think I really dislike the culture of like pampering everyone or like taking care of them as if you're their parents. I think Google is like the worst of that.”
Insight
Laqua: Startups must hire more non-engineers to compensate for lower intensity
“So naturally there, there's roles, I think that, that creep in, you know, you get the, like a lawyer and accountant are not going to work in the same way that you know, a software engineer might. And that's just a fact of life. So, okay. So if they don't want …”
Disclosure
Laqua receives death threats over Corgi's intense work culture
“The death threats and the DMs you know, people, people think I'm nuts.”
Opinion
Nico Laqua: Early-stage VCs are disrespectful in pitch meetings
“I've had people like, especially the first round, like the early stage investors are disrespectful.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Laqua: Crypto VCs encouraged founders to accept criminal liability
“I think on the extreme you have, like, if you go back in time a couple of years, a lot of the crypto investors would encourage company founders to take on quite a lot of personal liability, including criminal liability in many cases. And, you know, basically t…”
Insight
Laqua: Learning online and with AI is superior to university professors
“You can learn all the material online, you can learn all the material with an LOM much better than you can from some professor.”
Opinion
Laqua prefers measuring lifespan in victories rather than years
“I think I would rather like measure my lifespan and victories than years.”
Insight
Laqua: VCs should offer term sheets to founders working at 3 AM
“If you go there, you can go there at three AM and I'd recommend writing term sheets to everyone there because they're working hard.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Laqua: US visa friction gives London a major opportunity in AI
“Given the whole like visa situation in the United States, I think there's actually a phenomenal opportunity for London to become like a center of AI and a center of tech.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Corgi employs plenty of parents despite its intense work culture
“We have plenty of parents that work at Corgi, so life's about trade-offs and sacrifices.”
Opinion
Laqua: Young men lack societal support before gaining credibility
“I think when you're a young person, particularly, I think young men, you know, don't have that much support within society. And I think it's something, of course, that like weighs on people, particularly if you don't have you know, a lot of external validation…”
Disclosure
Laqua: Corgi Insurance never accepts the highest valuation offered in fundraising
“So we never take the highest price ever. I think that that's just a good rule of thumb. Like we always go with like the second or third highest price.”
Opinion
Laqua: Committee-based decision-making in business is nonsense
“Like every committee decision I think is like BS. Like sometimes you need to be able to take an unpopular stance and you just need to be able to plant your flag in the ground.”
Opinion
Nico Laqua: Boards Cannot Prevent Unethical Executives From Committing Fraud
“If management is like unethical or unscrupulous enough to scam people or do illegal stuff, then they're going to do it anyways, probably with or without a board and that's a management problem.”
Opinion
Laqua: Blaming Y Combinator for portfolio startup fraud is directionally incorrect
“I think that people blaming like, you know, YC or whatever for some of their companies being frauds is probably not like directionally correct because like internally it's not like any venture fund really wants to like invest in a fraud and people that are lik…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Laqua sleeps an average of three to four hours per night
“I don't sleep a lot. I think the average night, probably three to four hours.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Laqua keeps a mattress in the Corgi office to sleep there
“Yeah, I have a mattress there.”
Opinion
Laqua: Attending university was a big mistake
“I think going to university, going to college, that was a big mistake.”
Opinion
Laqua: Venture capital is no longer fungible
“What we're seeing with kind of the perception of funds and the idea of value add and tiers of investors is that perhaps capital isn't so fungible after all.”
Assertion Supported
Corgi Insurance mandates work trials for all job candidates
“We have everyone do work trials, so that, that scares them off.”
What-if
Laqua: High-ambition founders would have been military generals 200 years ago
“If we were alive you know, 200 years ago, we'd probably be generals, like fighting some sort of wars or something.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Laqua: High-growth San Francisco AI company offices are full on weekends
“I mean, if you visit very high growth AI companies, at least in San Francisco you know, the offices are pretty full on the weekends. And I don't think it's a coincidence.”
Disclosure
Corgi investors strongly opposed launching a 24/7 company cafe
“Oh, you sound exactly like our investors. I got a ton of calls and texts that said that before it opened.”
Opinion
Laqua: Angel investing is a distraction for startup founders
“I don't angel invest. Why? I think it's a distraction. Yeah. I don't think it's like, Yeah, I don't know. It doesn't feel like it's is, is core to like winning, you know.”
Opinion
Laqua: Dedicated American startup founders must build in San Francisco
“If you, if you're hardcore about startups and you're American, then I think you should go to San Francisco.”
Opinion
Laqua: London is the top startup hub outside the United States
“If you're hardcore about startups outside of the United States, I think London is second to none as well.”
Insight
Laqua: Founders learn more from studying victories than analyzing mistakes
“Yeah, I think if you dwell on mistakes, then you're, like, I look more at the victories than, Then the losses, because I think there's more to learn from the victories. And if you can kind of emulate the things that have worked really well again and again.”
Opinion
Laqua: Low cash compensation is generally good for startups
“I think low cash comp is something good generally speaking.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Corgi Insurance completes fundraising rounds in a couple of days at most
“A couple of days at most.”
Insight
Laqua: Prolonged fundraising causes founders to optimize for equity over products
“If you're in the market for a long time, it's a bad thing. And it's a bad thing. Maybe it's a good thing for your like valuation or for the amount of money you're raising or funds you're raising from, but I think it's a bad thing for the company because you st…”
What-if
Laqua: Public markets fail to properly value high-growth companies like Corgi
“If we were a public company, we'd probably be worth less because the public markets don't know how to evaluate high growth or potential.”
Opinion
Laqua: Publicly traded financial services companies are terrible and lack growth
“Look at the financial services company on the, companies on the public markets. They're all terrible. They all don't grow”
Insight
Laqua: Company valuations reflect brand and identity, not just future cash flows
“No, I don't think so because, I mean, maybe at some terminal point, like from a theoretical perspective, but brand is worth something and identity is worth something”
Insight
Laqua: AI makes sales and marketing much more important than before
“I think that that actually AI makes sales and marketing much more important than it was in the past.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Laqua: Organic network effects in B2B product launches no longer exist
“I think the like organic network effects around particularly B to B product launches just don't really exist in the same way that they used to.”
Opinion
Laqua: Traditional B2B marketing is awful, but B2B sales is good
“I think traditional B to B sales is good. I think marketing is awful.”
Disclosure
Nico Laqua: Corgi spends $400,000 monthly on Anthropic and zero on OpenAI
“We spend maybe like 400,000 dollars per month on, on Anthropic and zero dollars on open AI at the moment.”
Opinion
Nico Laqua: Anthropic is out-executing OpenAI in enterprise workflow automation
“Right now Anthropic, frankly speaking, has been out executing OpenAI. Their product's much better. You know, we use the best product in, in every category, at least from a, from an enterprise or like workflow automation perspective Anthropic's better.”
Disclosure
Corgi grants equity via performance top-offs rather than initial offers
“We're generous with top, top offs. ... Like with, after people are working, we give more, more equity based upon performance. That's where we're generous. More than the initial equity that people sign on.”
Disclosure
Laqua has never sold secondary equity in Corgi Insurance
“No, I've, I haven't sold any second. People are always trying to buy them, but I've yet to sell a single secondary.”
Assertion Supported
Corgi Insurance raised $1.3 billion in funding led by TCV
“Yeah, 1.3.”
Disclosure
Laqua admits he previously undervalued experienced, older workers
“You know, I think I've grown to value experience a lot more. In, in, in the past you know, I've probably made certain statements around you know, boomers being slow and bad or, you know, like, I, I've definitely you know, probably undervalued people that have …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Laqua: Extracting knowledge from older generations into AI is a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity
“There's trillions of dollars to make getting that knowledge out and putting it inside of inside of computers that can think and talk.”
Opinion
Laqua: Anduril and Anthropic are philosophically distinct yet both potential winners
“You know, a metaphysical level, there's a really big difference between Andrel and like Anthropic, right? Those are like super different companies. And I think both of those could be good companies.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Laqua: Biology will yield category-defining venture outcomes despite past failures
“And I think that there's certain areas where venture investing hasn't worked before, where where there could be like category defining outcomes and where there could be you know, new kind of industries where, where smart people are actually interested in going…”