The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Tomaino: Crypto tribes and economic alignment will reduce global violence
“So I actually think, like, crypto shilling, crypto tribes can reduce the amount of violence in the world in the long term and will.”
Tomaino: Donald Trump will run for president and win from a jail cell
“I think he'll be running and winning from a jail cell as well. The entertaining, the most entertaining outcome is is the most likely, right?”
Tomaino: NFTs will achieve greater mainstream adoption than cryptocurrencies
“Yeah, I mean, I think NFTs are gonna come back in a big way. I, I've said, and I think still you know, NFTs have a good chance to be you know, bigger than cryptocurrencies in terms of mainstream adoption. And the reason is because people, I think more people i…”
Tomaino: Crypto VCs would succeed by secretly buying just BTC and ETH
“Like I think a strategy, you know, a dishonest, but probably successful strategy for one of these billion dollar fund managers would be to, you know, pitch to LPs that you're investing in, you know, bleeding edge crypto that's gonna, gonna push the space forwa…”
Tomaino: Donald Trump will lean into crypto in a big way in 2024
“I personally think, you know, he's going to be leaning into crypto in a big way in 24, 24, that's my prediction, but we'll see.”
Tomaino: Crypto market cap could reach $10 trillion on speculation alone
“I still think there's a chance we get to. 10 trillion in total market value without that, because again, this, the idea of, you know, empowering billions of people around the world with this kind of new financial system is revolutionary”
Tomaino: NFT trading activity will resurge within three to five years
“I would say three to five years, you know, it's likely before that, but you know, with a high degree of conviction, I would say three to five years.”
Tomaino: Taylor Swift will never create music NFTs
“Taylor Swift is never going to create music NFTs.”
Tomaino: OpenSea will be significantly more important in five years
“Do I think it's going to be a, an important product in the world in five years, much more important than it is today? Yes, because I think NFTs are important, and because I think an on-ramp to NFTs is is very valuable for people.”
Tomaino: AI will make assessing the vibe of authenticity increasingly crucial
“Especially with, you know, AI, it's going to be harder and harder to tell if something's authentic or not, if someone's a genuine human or not, so I think authenticity and kind of an assessment of the vibe of authenticity is going to be increasingly important”
Tomaino: Every crypto wallet will eventually feature integrated on-chain messaging
“So I now think every wallet is going to have a messaging component. And on-chain messaging is going to be a big you know, crypto use case eventually.”
Tomaino: Few crypto funds will raise capital as LP scrutiny increases
“I don't think many crypto funds are getting raised. And I think LPs are going to get a little smarter and do more diligence and not just you know, deploy You know, like crazy into you know, fund managers that don't really have any unique insights or defined st…”