why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Lasky is short Magic Leap, favoring cell phones for AR
“I would say I'm quite short the approach of the magic leaps of the world that sort of require a visor and maybe for an industrial application, but are you really going to walk around the city looking like you're doing Star Trek cosplay, you know, just so that …”
Opinion
Lasky: Venture Capital Has Become an Over-Hyped PR Machine Like Hollywood
“Even the pre-internet bubble days. VCs were kind of shadow warriors. They were in the background. They were enablers. They were not really the center of attention. And I think increasingly, firms have brought a kind of Hollywood-like public relations and hype …”
Disclosure
Lasky avoids VR application startups due to long market trough
“So I've stayed away from investing in, in the application space, primarily because the development teams are really expensive and you'd have to kind of keep them funded through what could be a fairly long trough, maybe three, you know, three to five years.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lasky: Esports will remain a niche until television narrative problems are solved
“I don't just for a lot of reasons, I mean, I think until they solve the television problem, it's going to be very, very difficult. You know, so much of our experience of, I don't want to call them real sports, but of traditional sports is, is mediated by 2030,…”
Insight
Lasky: Operator background and hubris are classic failure vectors in VC
“I think all of those are sort of classic failure vectors for coming to the venture business. I think, you know, all the people with that background a lot of times come in with a lot of hubris.”
Insight
Lasky: Small partnership model is essential for effective VC decision-making
“I think there's a sort of small is beautiful approach that really works. You know, we can have one conversation. There's an enormous amount of mutual respect and admiration, and so, you know, it allows, I think, for good decision-making. There's a lot of trust…”
Insight
Lasky: VC Mega-Hits Generate Orders of Magnitude More Value Than Good Outcomes
“The value of hits like Facebook and Google in the venture business or the Star Wars movies or the Marvel franchise in the, in Hollywood create sort of orders of magnitude more gravity in our business than even good or very good results with other companies.”
Insight
Lasky: VCs Overvalue Historical Pattern Matching Over Non-Continuous Innovation
“Both share a tendency to overvalue Professional experience and sort of historical pattern matching potentially over taking chances on really non-continuous innovation.”
Opinion
Lasky: Professional esports teams are raising capital at astonishing valuations
“I'm less interested in sort of the professional team approach, the cloud nines, the mortals, who are raising money at the moment at astonishing valuations.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lasky: Benchmark held no champagne celebration following Snapchat's IPO
“I came back from New York after the Snapchat IPO. I was in New York for the pricing and to see the stock open on, on the New York stock exchange floor. And I flew back from, it was on a Thursday on, came back on, on Monday to the partners meeting. And our cele…”
Prediction Partly held up
Lasky: Benchmark partners will retire within the next decade
“Well, I think we have an opportunity as the current group of partners comes to the, in the next decade or so, comes to the end of their careers to really reinvigorate the firm with youth, and I think an increasing awareness of diversity.”
Assertion Partly supported
Benchmark: Snapchat was 12 people in a dining room at Series A
“When we invested in the Series A, the company was essentially a dozen people camping out in the dining room of Evan's dad's house in Los Angeles.”