why aren't all 19 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Silagadze: Teaching quality is a very low priority for universities
“Teaching, as surprising as it may be, is really very low on the total pool of priorities in higher education. In fact, that's just, it's not how universities get funded. You know, universities are not known generally because of the quality of their teaching. I…”
Assertion Partly supported
Silagadze: Companies should measure IQ because it strongly correlates with performance
“Most companies don't measure IQ at all, and that's wrong. I mean, there's a zero-point-six correlation between IQ and job performance, and that is, in fact, if you could base your hiring decision on one factor, you could only base it on one factor. IQ is actua…”
Opinion
Silagadze: Higher education is a luxury good, not a productivity investment
“I think many people believe that education is an investment that makes you more productive. In a sense. And I think beyond some of the very basic stuff that you learn in primary school, I don't actually think that's the case. I actually view education as a con…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Silagadze in 2018: Crypto bubble could dislocate the global economy
“You know, it seems like certainly the crypto mania is concerning. I worry that it's going to get large enough to where I'll actually dislocate the global economy just like the real estate bubble did not too long ago.”
Assertion Partly supported
Silagadze: Only 10 to 15 EdTech startups have reached $10M+ revenue
“Out of the, you know, thousands and thousands of companies that have been funded over the last decade or so, only a handful, I would say probably 10 or 15, have really broken out past the, let's say, tens of millions in revenue milestone and, you know, are on …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Silagadze: Most venture capital investors in EdTech have lost money
“Most people that have invested in EdTech have lost money in EdTech, and so, yeah, there's good reason to be skeptical.”
Insight
Silagadze: EdTech products fail because buyers and end users are mismatched
“Products in education technology are generally terrible because The decision makers aren't the users.”
Insight
Silagadze: Technical founders' early sales leadership hires fail almost 100% of the time
“There's one mistake that almost every young founder makes, engineering founders in particular, honestly, almost a hundred percent of the time is at some point they decide, you know what, we need to start figuring out sales. And then they correctly assess, well…”
Opinion
Silagadze: Traditional Chalkboard and Paper Lectures Fail to Effectively Teach Skills
“Chalkboards and paper books and all this stuff that hadn't changed for hundreds of years. And not only that it hadn't changed, but this is, it doesn't work. It's a really terrible way to teach people skills, actually.”
What-if
Silagadze: I wouldn't have invested in early-stage Top Hat today
“If I was evaluating Top Hat in the early days, I don't know if I would have invested knowing everything that I know now, just knowing how difficult the market is.”
Insight
Silagadze: Standard corporate hiring processes systematically favor charismatic extroverts
“Virtually all companies out there completely ignore this research and instead implement the same kind of hiring processes that have been shown repeatedly not to work, that have been shown to have tons of bias and be in favor of hiring basically extroverts that…”
Insight
Silagadze: Top experienced talent is harder to find because high performers are locked in
“And so as a result, people who are experienced paradoxically are, as far as the distribution, it's more challenging to find top performers because they said that the good ones are already locked in somewhere.”
Insight
Silagadze: Top sales individual contributors usually make poor managers
“When you've got somebody who's a top rep and, you know, is clamoring for a promotion to management, more often than not, that's a bad idea. You need to figure out how to level them up and give them the opportunity for growth within the, you know, as an individ…”
Insight
Silagadze: Measuring engineering velocity with metrics is nearly impossible
“Whereas in engineering, that's difficult, if not impossible. I mean, you basically, you almost don't have any metrics when it comes to measuring engineering velocity.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Silagadze: Canada Lacks Executives Who Have Scaled Companies Beyond $100M
“And biggest challenge I would say is lack of executive talent. There are very, very few people in Canada that have scaled businesses past a hundred million dollars. And as a result of that, it's challenging to build a business that scales to that degree becaus…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Silagadze: Higher education sales cycles can take three years for small deals
“If you want to sell something in higher education, generally speaking, you know, you have to go through a committee process that can take years, sometimes three years for relatively small transaction sizes.”
Disclosure
Silagadze: Top Hat abandoned top-down university enterprise sales as a dead end
“So that's what we started, actually. I mean, we started trying to do enterprise sales in universities, and very quickly, within a matter of months, realized that it was a dead end. I mean, the business just could not exist.”
Insight
Silagadze: Work sample tests are highly predictive of employee performance
“One of those things is a work sample. I mean, that's one of the most predictive things. So you actually have people do a sample of the work that they are going to do, whether it's programming, if it's developer or doing a presentation of their sales rep, that'…”
Insight
Silagadze: Premature promotions usually lead to departures since demotions are impossible
“We've certainly made The mistake of promoting people too early, and unfortunately, that usually doesn't end well, because what tends to happen is you can't demote them, because that's, you know, politically or whatever, from an optics perspective, you can't re…”