The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

2resolved → 0open claims → 0supported → 2contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Maples: Bitcoin will reach $130,000 by the end of 2025

“I'm gonna guess that it gets to a 130.”

Mike Maples Jan 6, 2025 ▶ 1:01:13 Mike Maples: Three Frameworks to Evaluate Startups and Founders | E1242 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings

Assertion Contradicted

Maples: iPhone 3GS improved smartphone GPS accuracy tenfold

“The technology inflection was the GPS locators in smartphones were 10 times more accurate with the iPhone three GS and beyond.”

Mike Maples May 11, 2020 ▶ 11:40 20VC: Floodgate's Mike Maples on 3 Key Breakthroughs Startups Experience in Success, The Rise of Angel and Operator Funds, Multi-Stage Funds Re-Entering Seed Investing and The Insight Development Framework

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The Ledger

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