The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Steckman: Only one drone startup will ultimately win the market
“There'll be one that wins, right? It's going to be really hard to pick it, I think is the problem. Like, but there will definitely be one winner.”
Steckman: Defense startups myopically focused on the Ukraine war will fail
“If those companies are myopically focused on that conflict, they will not have a business coming out the other end.”
Steckman: Anduril is a couple of years away from an IPO
“Still a couple of years out, but we're close. We're in the window.”
Steckman: Autonomous systems will eventually replace every single military mission
“I believe that that is true in the long run. I also believe that we're not even close to where a lot of people think we are on it. Like I think we're still in the early days on, on tons of this tech. But as time goes to infinity, like absolutely every single m…”