The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Mark Suster: Venture market correction will take another five years
“So we're two years into a correction. I think it's going to take another five.”
Mark Suster May 1, 2024 ▶ 32:42 Mark Suster: Why Private Equity Will Replace IPOs and M&A as the Exit Path | E1147 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Suster: Private equity buyouts and secondaries will drive future venture capital returns
“Where, where are returns going to come from? They're going to come from private equity. So private equity firms are going to step in and buy assets from venture capital funds. They will either buy A company or they will buy secondary.”
Mark Suster May 1, 2024 ▶ 27:04 Mark Suster: Why Private Equity Will Replace IPOs and M&A as the Exit Path | E1147 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Suster: 1,000 startups funded in 2021-2022 will never exit at $1B+
“Of the 1221 and 22 that were funded, my guess is a thousand of them will never achieve an exit value of a billion dollars or more.”
Mark Suster May 1, 2024 ▶ 29:32 Mark Suster: Why Private Equity Will Replace IPOs and M&A as the Exit Path | E1147 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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