The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Flanagan: 95% of B2B buying journeys will start in LLMs by 2027
“Google search is one of the best channels we had in B to B. 80% of all purchases started on Google search. It's predicted by 2027, 95% will start in LLM.”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 1:04:14 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: AI will merge growth and GTM teams into innovation pods
“What I see is AI is starting to collapse all of that into a single function, which is like an AI innovation pod. And the AI innovation pod is trying to figure out How do we deploy AI across like go to market to make it a much more efficient go to market?”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 4:26 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: Informational content marketing will hold no long-term value due to AI
“Now informational content. I just don't see value in it long-term anymore because people's consumer habits are going to change to just get all of that from AI.”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 30:10 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: AI will eliminate traditional GTM handovers across sales and support
“I think that is where we're going to go in the future and that you have a singular team looking across the entire go to market, whether that is the self-serve part, the sales led part, the customer success part, the customer support part. Because again, AI is …”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 8:27 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: Every corporate function will be smaller in the future
“I think every function is going to be smaller in the future.”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 13:29 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: AI will empower generalist 'Super ICs' over narrow specialists
“What I see happening is we're going to go to a place where we're going to have a lot of like super ICs and generalists that are enabled with AI, but can do much, much more.”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 51:43 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: LLM referral traffic will reach 3% to 5% in two years
“I honestly think that maybe it's like three to five percent.”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 52:36 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Every technology brand will eventually become a media brand
“To me, the whole, every tech brand in the future becomes a media brand because we have something to say.”
Kieran Flanagan Aug 10, 2022 ▶ 30:41 Kieran Flanagan: Hiring Tips for Growth; North Star Metrics; Hubspot's Mistake | 20VC #916 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Flanagan: AI agents will be priced against human labor costs
“Yes. I think we're going to price agents against human labor costs, outcomes.”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 15:16 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brands with neutral, uninspired product positioning will struggle
“Brands who don't get with that and don't know how to plug into the culture of today and sit in the middle saying boring things and being boring in terms of their product position and brand, I think they will They're going to struggle.”
Kieran Flanagan Aug 10, 2022 ▶ 27:56 Kieran Flanagan: Hiring Tips for Growth; North Star Metrics; Hubspot's Mistake | 20VC #916 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Creativity and brand will build the next generation of mega-companies
“I think creativity and brand is how you build a big company in the future.”
Kieran Flanagan Aug 10, 2022 ▶ 37:41 Kieran Flanagan: Hiring Tips for Growth; North Star Metrics; Hubspot's Mistake | 20VC #916 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2030
Flanagan: Enterprise AI stacks will dynamic-route between open and paid models
“I think that most companies at some point will have a The ability to like switch between open source models, paid models, whatever model is the best model for their task, because it's going to help them optimize their costs.”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 47:42 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Growth functions will decentralize into product management roles
“I think at some point you can see growth being much more decentralized into just how PMs create the product itself. We build in mechanisms to promote the product through virality or these other things. We build onboarding flows. We build upgrade flows to get p…”
Kieran Flanagan Aug 10, 2022 ▶ 2:48 Kieran Flanagan: Hiring Tips for Growth; North Star Metrics; Hubspot's Mistake | 20VC #916 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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