why aren't all 21 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Flanagan: 95% of B2B buying journeys will start in LLMs by 2027
“Google search is one of the best channels we had in B to B. 80% of all purchases started on Google search. It's predicted by 2027, 95% will start in LLM.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: AI will merge growth and GTM teams into innovation pods
“What I see is AI is starting to collapse all of that into a single function, which is like an AI innovation pod. And the AI innovation pod is trying to figure out How do we deploy AI across like go to market to make it a much more efficient go to market?”
Assertion Supported
Flanagan: ChatGPT scrapes 1,500 web pages for every single referral visit
“Six months ago, it was 250 pieces of content scraped, and they give you one visit back. Today, it's 1500 pieces of content scraped, and they give you one visit back.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: Informational content marketing will hold no long-term value due to AI
“Now informational content. I just don't see value in it long-term anymore because people's consumer habits are going to change to just get all of that from AI.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: AI will eliminate traditional GTM handovers across sales and support
“I think that is where we're going to go in the future and that you have a singular team looking across the entire go to market, whether that is the self-serve part, the sales led part, the customer success part, the customer support part. Because again, AI is …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: Every corporate function will be smaller in the future
“I think every function is going to be smaller in the future.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: AI will empower generalist 'Super ICs' over narrow specialists
“What I see happening is we're going to go to a place where we're going to have a lot of like super ICs and generalists that are enabled with AI, but can do much, much more.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: LLM referral traffic will reach 3% to 5% in two years
“I honestly think that maybe it's like three to five percent.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Every technology brand will eventually become a media brand
“To me, the whole, every tech brand in the future becomes a media brand because we have something to say.”
Prediction Held up
Flanagan: AI agents will be priced against human labor costs
“Yes. I think we're going to price agents against human labor costs, outcomes.”
Assertion Partly supported
Flanagan: HubSpot's AI chat agent is booking meetings and closing sales
“We have an AI chat agent that is able to sell now. It's booked in meetings. It's doing sales.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: HubSpot achieved 5x email conversion uplift using AI
“And if you had told me 12 months ago that we could use AI to like five X the conversion rate on email, cause I'm like, ah, look, there's only so much personalization you can do in an email.”
Assertion Contradicted
Flanagan: AI Overviews now appear in over 35% of Google searches
“That's on over, like, 35% of all searches today have some sort of AI overviews experience, and so that's rolling out much more rapidly.”
Assertion Partly supported
Flanagan: Viral AI gorilla ad booked LA dentist for years
“And there's a dental practitioner in the LA who created this kind of looked like a vlog of a gorilla doing a parachute jump, losing his teeth, and then go into his practice to get them fixed. And it went viral. And he apparently booked up his dental practice f…”
Assertion Supported
Flanagan: Quora citations in Google AI Overviews have drastically increased
“The real winner of AI search so far is like Quora. Quora is actually, you know, Their number of citations are seen in Google AI overviews has drastically increased because what I said was there's many ways to ask these questions now and AI wants all of that da…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brands with neutral, uninspired product positioning will struggle
“Brands who don't get with that and don't know how to plug into the culture of today and sit in the middle saying boring things and being boring in terms of their product position and brand, I think they will They're going to struggle.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Creativity and brand will build the next generation of mega-companies
“I think creativity and brand is how you build a big company in the future.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: HubSpot LLM traffic grew 5x but remains under 1%
“We've seen a five X increase, but it's still less than one percent of our traffic.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2030
Flanagan: Enterprise AI stacks will dynamic-route between open and paid models
“I think that most companies at some point will have a The ability to like switch between open source models, paid models, whatever model is the best model for their task, because it's going to help them optimize their costs.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Growth functions will decentralize into product management roles
“I think at some point you can see growth being much more decentralized into just how PMs create the product itself. We build in mechanisms to promote the product through virality or these other things. We build onboarding flows. We build upgrade flows to get p…”
Assertion Partly supported
Kieran Flanagan: Genius.com outranked competitors using pre-PMF annotation features
“One of my favorite examples is Genius.com, right? Used to be Rap Genius back in the day when there were large lyric sites. Now, when you were building another lyric site, there was already well-established lyric sites. Like, how do you differentiate in that? B…”