why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Murdock: AI tokens are not commodities because model customization changes their value
“I disagree with a token as a token. That may be true at the moment with pretty much frontier models, but I disagree with it because companies like fireworks and others are helping companies to customize. The more you customize the model, the more the token cha…”
Insight
Murdock: Containers are not safe for AI tools and require sandboxes
“Containers aren't safe. You need sandboxes. This is why. The big container company, Docker said, Hey, themselves said containers aren't safe. You better put in a sandbox.”
Insight
Murdock: ASIC Chips Are Ideal for Customization While GPUs Are Too Expensive
“I, look, Asics chips are really ideal if you're thinking about model customization. If you're saying, look, we're at a new phase in, in, in this AI build out, or what we really want to do is, is, is do a lot of model specialization. You don't need a GPU for th…”
Insight
Murdock: Autonomous agent co-work is starting to threaten legacy SaaS companies
“And as co-work becomes, you know, more successful and more stable and more broadly used, I would be really concerned about SaaS companies that don't have some kind of system of record or some kind of AI strategy in place to succeed. Because the co-work era, it…”
Insight
Jerry Murdock: AI displacement begins with hiring freezes for junior white-collar roles
“First of all, not to the people with the job. First of all, to the next person in line, the next junior developer you want to hire, the next executive assistant, the next marketing person. So the first thing you see is people stopping or slowing down Hiring of…”
Insight
Jerry Murdock: Autonomous AI agents require visual recognition to understand reality
“Language is, is a very subpar Descriptor of the world. It's just limited. So for autonomous agents, we need a new system where we can visually recognize the world to be able to have an objective view of reality for the autonomous agent.”
Insight
Jerry Murdock: New technology expands software markets before contracting them
“Normally when a new technology comes, it sort of expands the market before it contracts, because people are already in their momentum.”
Insight
Jerry Murdock: Most successful founders are socially challenged
“Most of the most successful people are going to be challenged socially.”
Insight
Jerry Murdock: Suspicious of any consumer technology under one billion users
“Until you get to a billion users, I'm suspicious of any consumer technology.”
Insight
Murdock: Customizing models executes specific tasks cheaper than frontier models
“If you only have a million dollars to spend, You could spend that million dollars on customization and getting specific tasks done a lot more efficiently than you can on a frontier model.”
Insight
Jerry Murdock: Vintage timing is primary correlation to VC fund success
“Look across all VC funds and look at their vintage, whether it's a 99 vintage or a 2004 or 2005 vintage, and the one correlation you can make to success Was timing.”
Insight
Jerry Murdock: Job seekers should bring autonomous AI agents to interviews
“Well, I would have him go buy a Mac mini, have an open claw, And go to the job interview with his open claw.”