why aren't all 22 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Siegel: Every CEO Should Take Their Company Public
“Honestly, I strongly recommend going public to every CEO and no one told me I should go public. They all try to talk me out of it.”
Insight
Siegel: Data excels at optimizing products but fails at innovation
“It is very easy to use data to optimize an existing product. It is very difficult to use data to innovate and build new product.”
Insight
Ian Siegel: New hire management leashes should depend on damage radius
“If you're in a position where a lot of people's jobs got harder or morale is going to go down because you're not doing your job, then very short leash. But if you're in a position where we're mentoring and training you, you're just working on a single feature …”
Insight
Siegel: Niche Domain Specialists Are 100Xers, Not Just 10Xers
“I love pointy people. Show me like someone who went super deep and became an expert at some niche area of business. I will hire that person 10 times out of 10. I don't want Michael Jordan. I want Dennis Rodman. I want someone with an elite skill at a single th…”
Insight
Siegel: Launching version 1.0 products requires rare courage
“I give a recurring speech about version one point O's and version one point O's are the only thing in life that actually take courage because you're effectively putting something out there that's never existed before. It's always deeply flawed. Everyone can lo…”
Opinion
Siegel: Modern product marketing is derivative and lacks bold claims
“We are bereft of version one point O is because the most common forms of marketing that you see are all derivative of each other. So people put testimonials up there or they put up like a single feature story, but nobody makes bold claims. Nobody puts out comm…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
ZipRecruiter will reach billions in revenue within a couple of years
“Now we are like, we do high hundreds of millions and we'll next couple of years, we will be in the billions probably.”
Insight
Ian Siegel: Inability to Explain Work Simply Indicates Lack of Understanding
“It's something that I've tried to actually invest a lot of time in with the employees at ZipRecruiter, so I make everybody tell the story of the work that they're doing in a way that a layperson could understand, because I feel like if you can't explain it to …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegel: ZipRecruiter will be known for product excellence within two years
“I don't want our brand to be famous for being a big advertiser. I want our brand to be famous for having an awesome product, and I think that's where we're going to be over the next couple years.”
Insight
Ian Siegel: Most companies only ever get famous for one thing
“I think it's critically important to be famous for something. And my argument is most companies only get famous for one thing.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegel: ZipRecruiter intervenes if new hires lack momentum after one month
“If you're in your job for a month and there is no momentum, we will intervene. We will not allow you to fail four months at ZipRecruiter when you join.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
ZipRecruiter's First Media Buyer Saved $1M on Day One
“Literally the first day he saved us a million dollars because they had not been running the ads. They said he made us a million dollars in a day. That time we were a company that was doing less than a hundred million in revenue a year when we hired him.”
Insight
Siegel: Common Sense and Perspective Are the Only Key Executive Traits
“The two great gifts that I look for in directors and above only two things I really look for common sense and perspective. That's it. Common sense and perspective.”
Insight
Siegel: Good leadership and parenting require suppressing initial emotional reactions
“Once you have children, the art of being a good parent and the art of being a good leader are the same, which is the ability to suppress your natural first reaction to think about the outcome you want to create.”
Insight
Siegel: Managers should speak last in meetings to avoid stifling discussion
“I think that as managers, there's simple rules you can apply, like, speak last. Let everybody get their words out, because once you start speaking, the conversation's over.”
What-if
Siegel: Early values-based hiring would have yielded a better, more diverse team
“I think we would have been a better, more united team. Ironically, a more diverse team had we instituted those values sooner in our recruiting process, like literally talked about them in our job ads, literally made them part of the interview process, which we…”
Insight
Siegel: Youthful founder overconfidence is both a superpower and a weakness
“That is both your superpower and your greatest weakness, which is like, you can believe you can do anything. You think all your success is because of you. You think you're some unique animal.”
Insight
Siegel: Scaling companies inevitably gravitate toward hiring senior talent
“All companies end up gravitating to is the more senior people they can possibly hire over time.”
What-if
Siegel: ZipRecruiter Should Have Raised Venture Capital Sooner
“When people say, what do you wish you'd done differently? I wish I'd raised that money sooner, knowing now, like, how much further we could have pushed our advantage had we had a larger war chest back then.”
Insight
Ian Siegel: Good leadership and parenting require suppressing initial emotional reactions
“Once you have children, the art of being a good parent and the art of being a good leader are the same, which is simply the ability to suppress your natural first reaction to think about the outcome you want to create.”
Disclosure
Siegel: Dissatisfied with the memorability of ZipRecruiter's commercials
“What's the last commercial you saw that you remember is a question that I ask our team internally all the time, because I am still dissatisfied with the level of memorability in the commercials that we produce.”
Disclosure
Siegel: ZipRecruiter Received Unsolicited Venture Capital Term Sheets Pre-Product
“Because we actually had term sheets when we were pre-product, like unsolicited term sheets were dropped on us.”