why aren't all 17 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Overvalued late-stage startups face severe down-round risks in 2016
“I think there's a lot of companies now, especially at the later stages, that are going to have a lot of issues in the next year because they raised rounds at too high of a valuation. The market has corrected, and now they need to raise rounds at down rounds or…”
Opinion
Harris disagrees with seed funds that refrain from follow-on investing
“I don't agree with the idea of not following on in your good companies.”
Insight
Seed funds eliminate signaling risk by only following outside-led rounds
“If you always follow when they raise a new round from a new investor, you also get around any signaling issues.”
Opinion
Eniac Ventures dislikes founders who actively search for problems to fix
“Probably the type of team we like least, kind of in this area is teams that kind of stumble upon a problem, or they're just trying to find a problem to fix. The best teams are ones that kind of in their everyday life as an employee or as a consumer notice some…”
Assertion Supported
The steepest venture funding drop-off occurs between Seed and Series A
“You could argue that probably the biggest drop off happens between the seed and the a rather than the a and the b. And I think that's just because there is so much seed money and there are so many seed funds compared to a funds where, you know, you really, tha…”
Insight
Seed startups must raise enough capital for 18 to 24 months runway
“Raising enough money in the seed to that we have kind of 18 to 24 months to do what we need to do to get to the A. The biggest mistake I see is companies not raising a large enough seed where, and you look at it, it's like, well, there's really no room for you…”
Opinion
Startups raising a second Seed round have lower chances of success
“Now, companies have, certainly there's a bunch of companies that have raised second seeds and have gone on to be successful, but once you get to that point, I think your chances of success are lower.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Prominent VCs warned Eniac founders in 2010 that mobile was too niche
“A lot of the VCs that we had worked with as entrepreneurs who are Very well-respected VCs and continue to be very well-respected and nothing against them, but a lot of them told us that, you know, it was too niche, that we needed to be broader.”
Assertion Supported
Harris: New York is clearly the second-largest US tech market
“I think it's gotten to the point where it's clearly the second biggest market.”
Disclosure
Eniac Ventures avoids participating as a new investor in second Seed rounds
“We generally don't participate kind of as a new investor in those when we have companies that need to do that, you know, we try and be as supportive as possible.”
Prediction Held up
Mobile enterprise will produce a Salesforce-scale breakout within 5 to 10 years
“Under hyped for us, I think is mobile enterprise. I think you're going to see a lot of amazing companies come out in, in grow in the next five, 10 years both for desk and non-desk workers. You know, I think there's going to be A Salesforce Oracle type company …”
Disclosure
Eniac Ventures allocated half of its 2015 investments to San Francisco
“If you look at kind of our investments last year, about half were in San Francisco, about a quarter were in New York and about a quarter were We're elsewhere.”
Disclosure
Eniac Ventures acquired its Airbnb equity by selling an early portfolio company
“Airbnb is a situation where we sold a company to them early on.”
Prediction Held up
Eniac Ventures takes pro-rata but never leads Series A or B rounds
“Our model is to take our pro rata in the follow on rounds, but we would never lead a series A or B or something like that given our size and our focus.”
Disclosure
Eniac Ventures has never experienced a portfolio down round as of 2016
“I, we've been fortunate that we haven't had one yet.”
Disclosure
Eniac Ventures agrees on valuation in 19 out of 20 startup deals
“I would say, you know, 19 out of 20, we were able to agree on a valuation and, It's more about wanting to work together and coming to something that we're, that we we're comfortable with rather than kind of a pure negotiation.”
Disclosure
Eniac requires strong retention and organic growth before investing in social startups
“We tend to try and find companies that even if it's a small number of users have really great data retention engagement on those users. And then some sort of semblance of organic growth before we get involved.”