why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Top U.S. retailers like Home Depot derive under 3% of sales online
“The most successful retailers today in the United States have very little e-commerce. So think of Home Depot, Lowe's, TJ Maxx, Costco, Dollar Store, Zara, H&M, even Uniqlo, their e-commerce businesses are sub-three percent of total sales, yet TJX, which owns a…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Physical retail will survive because consumers rely on aggregators for curation
“No, because I think curation is important. I think the reality is not all brands can afford to distribute product directly at scale to their customers. I believe that similar to like wine, fashion needs someone to tell us What looks good. And maybe it's not go…”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Almost all top-50 VC funds hold investments in Southern California
“There are very few top-fifty venture funds that don't have an investment in Southern California today.”
Assertion Supported
Bettinelli claims he coined the phrase "long LA"
“And I, then I coined the phrase long LA, which I still use. And if you see on Twitter and things that kind of all came from some original ideas of me just being very bullish on what was going on in Los Angeles.”
Assertion Supported
HauteLook reached $25 million in monthly sales before Nordstrom acquisition
“We got to a point where we were doing, say, twenty-five million dollars a month of sales before I left. And we had started, we were doing a million a month, so we had huge growth, but Nordstrom's was doing ten billion dollars a year, right?”
Assertion Supported
70% of online returns for major US retailers occur in physical stores
“You'd probably be surprised to know that most of the top retailers in the US, a la a Macy's and Nordstrom, the gap, et cetera, almost 70% of the product that's bought online and returned from the stores is actually returned into the stores.”