why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Kant: Google relies on Broadcom for TPUs while Amazon works with fabs
“Because while Google has to work with Broadcom to be able to bring TPUs into the world, Amazon is working with the fabs directly.”
Assertion Supported
Kant: Neither OpenAI nor Poolside is allowed to train on private code
“But private code, no one's allowed to train on. Not us, not OpenAI. So all of us have access to the same public data.”
Prediction Held up
Kant: Poolside, OpenAI, and Anthropic will rival Big Tech in AI
“What I would like to see and what I think is going to happen is that it's not just Google, Amazon, and Microsoft. It's going to be, you know, an open eye, an anthropic, a poolside, and a set of companies who are able to get that massive escape velocity needed …”
Assertion Supported
Kant: Internet has 3T usable code tokens vs 15T English text tokens
“Usable code for training is what we refer to as about three trillion tokens. And if you look at kind of usable language in English on the internet for training, we're talking about anywhere between 10 and 15 trillion tokens. There's a massive amount of code th…”
Assertion Supported
Kant: xAI built a 100,000 GPU cluster in Tennessee in mere months
“They built a 100,000 GPU, three, 32 K interconnected clusters in Tennessee in the span of months, and XAI showed up with Elon's strength, the ability to build physical infrastructure incredibly fast in the world.”
Assertion Partly supported
Nvidia GPUs yield 2x AI training performance gain every two years
“Pretty much what we've seen consistently with every two-year generation of training from NVIDIA is about a two X, one and a half to two X, you know, performance increase. But training is about two X every two years.”