The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Kant: Tesla will inevitably build the most capable full self-driving AI
“And so to me, Elon has one full self-driving. I think it's inevitable that, that the most capable AI for full self-driving is coming out of Tesla because they've been gathering and building up this data set.”
Kant: Full AGI is far off, but specific high-value capabilities will arrive first
“At some point we are going to be in a world where across all sets of capabilities that we have as human beings, Machine intelligence is going to be as capable and if not more capable than us and surpass us. Now, our point of view is, is that that world is stil…”
Kant: Software development will be first domain where AI closes human gap
“Our view of Poolside is that the first majorly economically viable capability that is going to close the gap between human intelligence and machine intelligence is software development.”
Kant: Poolside, OpenAI, and Anthropic will rival Big Tech in AI
“What I would like to see and what I think is going to happen is that it's not just Google, Amazon, and Microsoft. It's going to be, you know, an open eye, an anthropic, a poolside, and a set of companies who are able to get that massive escape velocity needed …”
Eiso Kant: Global AI regulation will focus on end-user applications
“The world is finding a balance and the balance that I'd like to see that the world is, and I think it's moving towards it, is to regulate the end user application of AI.”
Eiso Kant: Current AI era sets foundational table like mobile and internet
“We're going to look back on this moment 10 years from now, just like we would look back to the moment of mobile, internet, and realize that that was the moment where the table got set.”
Kant: AI hardware and algorithmic optimizations have decades of gains left
“And we've got probably decades, if not, you know, hundreds of years of improvements still left there and different forms of it over time.”
Kant: Data Centers Built in Two Years Will Look Radically Different
“The data centers from, you know, two years ago versus the data centers in terms of size and power requirement that we're going to see in the next two years look radically different, not just because the scale of number of servers and nodes that we're interconn…”
Kant: Software development will stay developer-led while becoming increasingly AI-assisted
“AI for software developers. I don't think anyone in the world anymore questions that software development moving forward is going to be a, for the foreseeable future, a developer-led, AI-assisted world, an increasingly AI-assisted world.”