The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Pakman: Jay-Z's Tidal is doomed to ultimate failure
“So, I think Tidal's notion of exclusive content was somewhat doomed from the beginning, and I think the numbers show the product has failed. The social receptivity was really negative. And I think it will it will ultimately completely fail.”
David Pakman Jul 15, 2015 ▶ 15:27 20 VC 055: David Pakman @ Venrock on The Future Of The Music Industry
Prediction Held up
Pakman: Apple Music will reach only 30-50M paid subscribers in 2 years
“I think there'll be a sustainable long-term digital music streaming service, but I don't think they'll get much more than, you know, I'm thinking sort of 30 to fifty million paying subscribers over the next two years, so I think my prediction is that they'll f…”
David Pakman Jul 15, 2015 ▶ 16:55 20 VC 055: David Pakman @ Venrock on The Future Of The Music Industry
Prediction Held up
Automobiles will increasingly be sold direct-to-consumer, following Tesla's model
“We think cars will be sold direct to consumer the way Tesla is doing it.”
David Pakman Aug 10, 2016 ▶ 20:10 20VC: Dollar Shave Club's Series A & B Lead Investor, David Pakman on The Requirements For A Successful Subscription Business & Why A Lot of Investors Do Not Like Consumer
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Venture Capital Will Be Disrupted and Practiced Differently in Five Years
“Venture will be disrupted. It's being disrupted today. It's being practiced actually today differently than it was 15 or 20 years ago, and it'll probably be practiced five or seven years from now differently than it is today. So I do believe that venture is no…”
David Pakman Jul 15, 2015 ▶ 12:40 20 VC 055: David Pakman @ Venrock on The Future Of The Music Industry
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pakman: Direct-to-Consumer Is the Only Retail Model That Will Work
“I'm confident that the only model that will really work in the future, or the model that will work best in the future, are brands that have direct relationship with customers.”
David Pakman Jul 15, 2015 ▶ 13:43 20 VC 055: David Pakman @ Venrock on The Future Of The Music Industry
Prediction Held up
Legacy CPG firms will acquire DTC startups to gain e-commerce expertise
“So I think there is pressure now on all of the large consumer products companies to become DTC, and you can either buy or build, or both. And so, yes, I think we will see more transactions as a way to import knowledge and get, get ahead in this important categ…”
David Pakman Aug 10, 2016 ▶ 17:58 20VC: Dollar Shave Club's Series A & B Lead Investor, David Pakman on The Requirements For A Successful Subscription Business & Why A Lot of Investors Do Not Like Consumer
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,200 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.