why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Partly held up
Helgason: Augmented reality will be massive and almost entirely business-focused
“It's going to be massive. It's going to be massive in a very different way. Whereas VR, I think, is all entertainment. Business users that are sort of entertainment-like, you know, kind of looking at products and things like that. Whereas AR, AR is going to be…”
Prediction Held up
Helgason: Console gaming is not dying and will remain a healthy market
“No, I mean, like there's sort of, there's been that rumor and expectation, but I mean, the console guys kind of reinvented themselves. They opened their platforms up more. Seems to be no end to that, which, you know, I think is good because frankly you know, f…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Unity was already profitable when it raised its $5M Series A
“We were 30 people when we raised the round, and profitable, and we actually remained sort of break-even-ish, profitable for quite a while.”
Assertion Supported
Helgason: Unity was the only major game engine on mobile early on
“And for various reasons, nobody else really cared about it for a while. So we were kind of the only player there for quite a while. Of course, you know, because all the money was in console gaming, which is a very different everything actually.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Helgason: VR ecosystem is one-thousandth the size of mobile
“Even if you're really generous with VR, you know, it's something like one, 1000th of the mobile ecosystem, right?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Helgason: Unity faced 45 VC rejections before receiving 5 term sheets
“We got 45 rejections or so, and then in the end we had five term sheets.”
Assertion Partly supported
Unity raised a $5M Series A from Sequoia with 30 employees
“When we were 30 people, I moved to San Francisco and raised money from Sequoia Capital. First round, actually, five million dollars with Rola Fulta joining the board.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Helgason: I will almost certainly never start another company as founder
“As a founder, almost certainly not. Plus Unity keeps me busy. It's just like, it's sort of a Big B stuff of interesting projects and innovation and teams and brilliant people that it sort of keeps me occupied. No, it's hard. It's hard for me to imagine that I …”