The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Beisel: Amazon will ship 20M to 40M Echo devices in 2017
“Somewhere between 20 to forty million are going to be Shipped in here in 2017.”
David Beisel Aug 16, 2017 ▶ 10:47 20VC: How To Design Investment Decision Making That Allows For Outliers, Why Personal Voice Computing Is The Next Big Platform & The Challenges That Could Prevent It with David Beisel, Founding Partner @ NextView Ventures
Prediction Held up
Beisel predicts 50 million voice-connected devices in homes by late 2017
“By the end of the year, literally, fifty million devices in people's homes are going to have that kind of connection.”
David Beisel Aug 16, 2017 ▶ 11:20 20VC: How To Design Investment Decision Making That Allows For Outliers, Why Personal Voice Computing Is The Next Big Platform & The Challenges That Could Prevent It with David Beisel, Founding Partner @ NextView Ventures
Insight
Beisel: Bridge rounds usually mean a startup missed its Series A metrics
“I would say only sometimes, but most often. I mean, I think other times you can see things that other investors don't see, or the metrics weren't there. You might actually have hit the right metrics, but the market moved on you.”
David Beisel Aug 16, 2017 ▶ 17:20 20VC: How To Design Investment Decision Making That Allows For Outliers, Why Personal Voice Computing Is The Next Big Platform & The Challenges That Could Prevent It with David Beisel, Founding Partner @ NextView Ventures
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Beisel: NextView writes an investment memo for every seed deal
“We actually, at NextView, write an investment memo for every single seed investment we make.”
David Beisel Aug 16, 2017 ▶ 5:41 20VC: How To Design Investment Decision Making That Allows For Outliers, Why Personal Voice Computing Is The Next Big Platform & The Challenges That Could Prevent It with David Beisel, Founding Partner @ NextView Ventures
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Beisel: NextView requires unanimous partner consent for follow-on investments
“For follow-on funding, we actually make it unanimous entirely.”
David Beisel Aug 16, 2017 ▶ 6:51 20VC: How To Design Investment Decision Making That Allows For Outliers, Why Personal Voice Computing Is The Next Big Platform & The Challenges That Could Prevent It with David Beisel, Founding Partner @ NextView Ventures
Insight
Beisel: Solving distribution solves most other problems for B2B and B2C startups
“I think if you can solve distribution and get your product out there, whether it's a B to C company or B to B company, lots of other problems go away, right?”
David Beisel Aug 16, 2017 ▶ 8:06 20VC: How To Design Investment Decision Making That Allows For Outliers, Why Personal Voice Computing Is The Next Big Platform & The Challenges That Could Prevent It with David Beisel, Founding Partner @ NextView Ventures
Insight
Beisel: Voice computing's primary bottlenecks are monetization and distribution
“The challenges right now with voice computing are really around monetization and distribution, right?”
David Beisel Aug 16, 2017 ▶ 12:30 20VC: How To Design Investment Decision Making That Allows For Outliers, Why Personal Voice Computing Is The Next Big Platform & The Challenges That Could Prevent It with David Beisel, Founding Partner @ NextView Ventures
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Beisel: Voice fragmentation creates opportunities for startups to build connective tissue
“A consumer in their bedroom or in their kitchen isn't going to want to talk to the different device differently, and so there's probably some area for startups to kind of be connective tissue around a cohesive experience.”
David Beisel Aug 16, 2017 ▶ 13:50 20VC: How To Design Investment Decision Making That Allows For Outliers, Why Personal Voice Computing Is The Next Big Platform & The Challenges That Could Prevent It with David Beisel, Founding Partner @ NextView Ventures
Insight
Beisel: First-generation apps on new platforms merely replicate older platforms
“Yeah, so the idea is that, like, when you have a new platform shift, right, so if you go from PCs to mobile and Or mobile to, you know, hopefully here voice computing. The first kind of love application just replicates what the other one was, what happened in …”
David Beisel Aug 16, 2017 ▶ 14:55 20VC: How To Design Investment Decision Making That Allows For Outliers, Why Personal Voice Computing Is The Next Big Platform & The Challenges That Could Prevent It with David Beisel, Founding Partner @ NextView Ventures
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Beisel: NextView uses a two-step voting process for initial investments
“We actually have a two-step voting process where We vote very early on when we meet with entrepreneurs, then we vote, then we actually vote again when we make the final decision-making process.”
David Beisel Aug 16, 2017 ▶ 6:37 20VC: How To Design Investment Decision Making That Allows For Outliers, Why Personal Voice Computing Is The Next Big Platform & The Challenges That Could Prevent It with David Beisel, Founding Partner @ NextView Ventures
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Beisel: Amazon shipped 10 million Echo devices in 2016
“So, ten million devices were shipped in 2016.”
David Beisel Aug 16, 2017 ▶ 10:43 20VC: How To Design Investment Decision Making That Allows For Outliers, Why Personal Voice Computing Is The Next Big Platform & The Challenges That Could Prevent It with David Beisel, Founding Partner @ NextView Ventures
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