The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Cem Sertoglu: UiPath grew $1M to $100M ARR in 21 months
“I believe a UiPath went from a million to a hundred million ARR in 21 months. At the time that was, I think, the fastest ever.”
Cem Sertoglu Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 0:18 Cem Sertoglu: Lessons from the Greatest Venture Investment in European History | E1228 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sertoglu: Every single European VC passed on UiPath at least once
“I think that every single European VC has passed on UiPath at least once.”
Cem Sertoglu Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 41:30 Cem Sertoglu: Lessons from the Greatest Venture Investment in European History | E1228 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Sertoglu: 10-year fund life is too short for early-stage VC funds
“I think a 10 year life for a seed and a Focused fund is too short. This is evidenced by the fact that almost, I don't know a single early stage VC fund that was liquid by year 10.”
Cem Sertoglu Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 51:25 Cem Sertoglu: Lessons from the Greatest Venture Investment in European History | E1228 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2029
Sertoglu: The majority of 2021 vintage venture funds will not return 1x
“I haven't seen the underlying data. I would suspect that is probably the case. I, I'm afraid that is a right prediction.”
Cem Sertoglu Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 58:21 Cem Sertoglu: Lessons from the Greatest Venture Investment in European History | E1228 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sertoglu: Venture capital is the only asset class where assets choose investors
“You know, we're the only asset class where the asset chooses the investor, right?”
Cem Sertoglu Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 21:00 Cem Sertoglu: Lessons from the Greatest Venture Investment in European History | E1228 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sertoglu: Foreign tourist capital repeatedly rushes into and retracts from regional markets
“It happens in every cycle they rush in and then they rush out very, very quickly. And also when they rush in, they miss, miss out on the nuances of the region.”
Cem Sertoglu Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 4:04 Cem Sertoglu: Lessons from the Greatest Venture Investment in European History | E1228 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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